cbb·system

Chicago State Cougars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.73 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.13 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.40 points per possession 0.18
PACE 74.31 possessions per game 4.31

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 25 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Chicago State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.40 to 1.03 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023622 0.214

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbChicago State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-02-26 2023 Hartford @ Chicago State 62–75 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Hartford @ Chicago State 60–79 regular
2023-02-07 2023 Chicago State @ Cleveland State 49–88 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Saint Xavier @ Chicago State 63–70 non_d1
2023-01-29 2023 Chicago State @ Hartford 57–49 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Chicago State @ Hartford 76–59 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Chicago State @ Northwestern 64–87 regular
2023-01-25 2023 St. Francis (IL) @ Chicago State 72–62 non_d1
2023-01-18 2023 Olivet @ Chicago State 50–108 non_d1
2023-01-03 2023 Chicago State @ Norfolk State 53–86 regular
2023-01-01 2023 Chicago State @ Central Michigan 62–80 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Chicago State @ Ball State 53–119 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Chicago State @ Green Bay 42–92 regular
2022-12-19 2023 Florida Atlantic @ Chicago State 73–56 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Western Michigan @ Chicago State 101–73 regular
2022-12-15 2023 Chicago State @ St. Thomas 56–74 regular
2022-12-13 2023 Chicago State @ Minnesota 54–105 regular
2022-12-09 2023 Chicago State @ Georgia Southern 71–93 regular
2022-12-03 2023 North Carolina Central @ Chicago State 76–66 regular
2022-12-02 2023 Chicago State @ Southern Illinois 57–115 regular
2022-11-29 2023 Chicago State @ Indiana State 43–68 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Colorado @ Chicago State 83–32 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Eastern Illinois @ Chicago State 87–64 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Western Illinois @ Chicago State 59–45 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Chicago State @ Purdue Fort Wayne 52–86 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Chicago State @ Evansville 57–82 regular
2022-11-14 2023 UIC @ Chicago State 87–62 regular
2022-11-10 2023 Chicago State @ Butler 57–84 regular