cbb·system

Chicago State Cougars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.73 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.10 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.38 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.15 possessions per game 5.00

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Chicago State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 55.95 to 80.04 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
2018129 0.033

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbChicago State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-08 2018 Chicago State @ New Mexico State N 60–84 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Kansas City @ Chicago State 59–47 regular
2018-02-24 2018 UT Rio Grande Valley @ Chicago State 69–62 regular
2018-02-23 2018 New Mexico State @ Chicago State 63–55 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Chicago State @ Kansas City 47–106 regular
2018-02-11 2018 Chicago State @ Seattle U 60–72 regular
2018-02-08 2018 Chicago State @ Utah Valley 84–74 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Grand Canyon @ Chicago State 59–43 regular
2018-02-02 2018 Cal State Bakersfield @ Chicago State 63–36 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Chicago State @ UT Rio Grande Valley 44–81 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Chicago State @ Cal State Bakersfield 49–63 regular
2018-01-19 2018 Chicago State @ Grand Canyon 36–64 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Utah Valley @ Chicago State 68–30 regular
2018-01-12 2018 Seattle U @ Chicago State 63–56 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Chicago State @ New Mexico State 59–74 regular
2017-12-31 2018 Chicago State @ Pittsburgh 49–87 regular
2017-12-22 2018 Milwaukee @ Chicago State 84–59 regular
2017-12-19 2018 Chicago State @ Kansas State 51–99 regular
2017-12-17 2018 Chicago State @ Oral Roberts N 43–73 regular
2017-12-16 2018 Chicago State @ Wichita State 63–66 regular
2017-12-10 2018 Chicago State @ Valparaiso 60–71 regular
2017-12-03 2018 Chicago State @ Wright State 39–84 regular
2017-12-02 2018 Loyola Chicago @ Chicago State 46–28 regular
2017-11-30 2018 Chicago State @ Western Illinois 54–71 regular
2017-11-26 2018 Morehead State @ Chicago State 79–40 regular
2017-11-23 2018 Western Illinois @ Chicago State 83–45 regular
2017-11-21 2018 Northern Illinois @ Chicago State 80–59 regular
2017-11-18 2018 Jackson State @ Chicago State 87–69 regular
2017-11-16 2018 Chicago State @ Illinois 56–66 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Northwestern @ Chicago State 63–36 regular