cbb·system

UTSA Roadrunners

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.01 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.73 possessions per game 4.57

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UTSA AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 58.66 to 140.99 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231319 0.406

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUTSA auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-11 2023 UTSA @ Western Kentucky N 55–70 conf_tournament
2023-03-09 2023 UTSA @ Rice N 62–54 conf_tournament
2023-03-08 2023 Florida Atlantic @ UTSA N 68–69 conf_tournament
2023-03-02 2023 UTSA @ Charlotte 80–59 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Florida International @ UTSA 79–85 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Florida Atlantic @ UTSA 61–77 regular
2023-02-21 2023 UTSA @ North Texas 68–67 regular
2023-02-18 2023 UTSA @ UAB 64–67 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Rice @ UTSA 53–66 regular
2023-02-11 2023 UTSA @ UTEP 52–79 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Middle Tennessee @ UTSA 53–58 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Western Kentucky @ UTSA 73–67 regular
2023-01-28 2023 UTSA @ Louisiana Tech 66–63 regular
2023-01-27 2023 North Texas @ UTSA 54–51 regular
2023-01-21 2023 UTSA @ Florida International 48–51 regular
2023-01-20 2023 UTSA @ Florida Atlantic 66–81 regular
2023-01-17 2023 UTSA @ Rice 76–78 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Charlotte @ UTSA 50–64 regular
2023-01-12 2023 UTEP @ UTSA 74–67 regular
2023-01-07 2023 UTSA @ Western Kentucky 69–77 regular
2023-01-06 2023 UTSA @ Middle Tennessee 41–80 regular
2022-12-31 2023 UAB @ UTSA 68–71 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Louisiana Tech @ UTSA 62–57 regular
2022-12-19 2023 UTSA @ Houston 89–93 regular
2022-12-16 2023 UTSA @ Incarnate Word 53–56 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Idaho @ UTSA 69–76 regular
2022-12-01 2023 UTSA @ Texas State 55–60 regular
2022-11-26 2023 UTSA @ St. John's N 64–69 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Missouri State @ UTSA N 74–51 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Abilene Christian @ UTSA 70–76 regular
2022-11-17 2023 UTSA @ TCU 67–74 regular
2022-11-07 2023 UTSA @ Stephen F. Austin 63–68 regular