cbb·system

Cincinnati Bearcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.98 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.86 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.12 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.13 possessions per game 4.92

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Cincinnati AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.12 to 1.87 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192411 0.686

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCincinnati auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-31 2019 Cincinnati @ TCU 55–69 other_postseason
2019-03-28 2019 Butler @ Cincinnati 65–72 other_postseason
2019-03-24 2019 Minnesota @ Cincinnati 65–72 other_postseason
2019-03-21 2019 Youngstown State @ Cincinnati 62–76 other_postseason
2019-03-10 2019 Cincinnati @ UCF N 58–66 regular
2019-03-10 2019 Memphis @ Cincinnati N 48–68 regular
2019-03-04 2019 Cincinnati @ Tulane 80–65 regular
2019-03-02 2019 South Florida @ Cincinnati 43–57 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Cincinnati @ East Carolina 68–57 regular
2019-02-21 2019 Tulsa @ Cincinnati 47–74 regular
2019-02-17 2019 Cincinnati @ Temple 70–78 regular
2019-02-13 2019 Cincinnati @ Memphis 89–69 regular
2019-02-10 2019 Wichita State @ Cincinnati 54–82 regular
2019-02-02 2019 UConn @ Cincinnati 65–55 regular
2019-01-31 2019 Cincinnati @ South Florida 57–56 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Memphis @ Cincinnati 56–80 regular
2019-01-24 2019 Houston @ Cincinnati 57–68 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Cincinnati @ Tulsa 70–50 regular
2019-01-17 2019 Temple @ Cincinnati 52–72 regular
2019-01-13 2019 Cincinnati @ UCF 55–56 regular
2019-01-10 2019 Cincinnati @ UConn 38–82 regular
2019-01-06 2019 SMU @ Cincinnati 57–69 regular
2018-12-22 2019 Howard @ Cincinnati 51–85 regular
2018-12-16 2019 Xavier @ Cincinnati 61–79 regular
2018-12-08 2019 VCU @ Cincinnati 54–66 regular
2018-12-06 2019 Cincinnati @ Miami (OH) 65–78 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Cincinnati @ Ohio State 56–69 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Cincinnati @ Ball State 63–75 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Lipscomb @ Cincinnati 55–71 regular
2018-11-22 2019 Yale @ Cincinnati 52–66 regular
2018-11-18 2019 Cincinnati @ Saint Louis 51–50 regular
2018-11-17 2019 Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh 48–65 regular
2018-11-13 2019 Old Dominion @ Cincinnati 76–72 regular
2018-11-10 2019 East Tennessee State @ Cincinnati 64–77 regular
2018-11-07 2019 Austin Peay @ Cincinnati 48–69 regular