cbb·system

Cincinnati Bearcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.90 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.11 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.54 possessions per game 4.89

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Cincinnati AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.68 to 1.32 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251514 0.517

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCincinnati auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-05 2025 Arizona State @ Cincinnati N 82–75 conf_tournament
2025-03-01 2025 West Virginia @ Cincinnati 85–69 regular
2025-02-27 2025 Cincinnati @ Oklahoma State 64–74 regular
2025-02-23 2025 Utah @ Cincinnati 92–65 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Cincinnati @ Texas Tech 59–56 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Cincinnati @ West Virginia 50–69 regular
2025-02-12 2025 Kansas State @ Cincinnati 90–53 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Kansas @ Cincinnati 74–78 regular
2025-02-05 2025 Iowa State @ Cincinnati 72–52 regular
2025-02-02 2025 Cincinnati @ Baylor 59–98 regular
2025-01-29 2025 Houston @ Cincinnati 65–73 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Cincinnati @ Arizona State 73–66 regular
2025-01-23 2025 Cincinnati @ Arizona 62–72 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Colorado @ Cincinnati 59–65 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Cincinnati @ UCF 64–58 regular
2025-01-08 2025 Oklahoma State @ Cincinnati 64–48 regular
2025-01-05 2025 Cincinnati @ TCU 66–81 regular
2025-01-01 2025 BYU @ Cincinnati 63–72 regular
2024-12-22 2025 Cincinnati @ Kansas State 59–76 regular
2024-12-18 2025 Marshall @ Cincinnati 64–67 regular
2024-12-15 2025 Cincinnati @ Xavier 60–48 regular
2024-12-06 2025 Western Illinois @ Cincinnati 52–95 regular
2024-12-03 2025 Central Connecticut @ Cincinnati 49–78 regular
2024-11-24 2025 Cincinnati @ Florida Gulf Coast N 52–59 regular
2024-11-22 2025 Georgetown @ Cincinnati N 57–59 regular
2024-11-18 2025 Seton Hall @ Cincinnati 69–68 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Davidson @ Cincinnati 50–68 regular
2024-11-10 2025 Delaware State @ Cincinnati 46–83 regular
2024-11-06 2025 Cincinnati @ UIC 66–54 regular