cbb·system

Cincinnati Bearcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.81 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.10 points per possession 0.17
PACE 64.97 possessions per game 5.13

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Cincinnati AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 54.02 to 152.17 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141318 0.419

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCincinnati auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-08 2014 Cincinnati @ UConn N 42–72 conf_tournament
2014-03-07 2014 UCF @ Cincinnati N 52–54 conf_tournament
2014-03-04 2014 Cincinnati @ Memphis 47–53 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Louisville @ Cincinnati 75–51 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Cincinnati @ UCF 50–49 regular
2014-02-20 2014 South Florida @ Cincinnati 62–43 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Cincinnati @ Temple 55–53 regular
2014-02-13 2014 Memphis @ Cincinnati 49–65 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Houston @ Cincinnati 48–39 regular
2014-02-05 2014 Cincinnati @ Rutgers 53–58 regular
2014-02-01 2014 UConn @ Cincinnati 86–29 regular
2014-01-29 2014 Cincinnati @ SMU 47–66 regular
2014-01-25 2014 UCF @ Cincinnati 37–47 regular
2014-01-22 2014 Cincinnati @ South Florida 48–57 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Temple @ Cincinnati 58–47 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Cincinnati @ Houston 59–50 regular
2014-01-08 2014 Rutgers @ Cincinnati 78–58 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Cincinnati @ Louisville 45–64 regular
2014-01-01 2014 SMU @ Cincinnati 54–43 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Cincinnati @ UConn 34–67 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Cincinnati @ Xavier 47–26 regular
2013-12-18 2014 Akron @ Cincinnati 70–86 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Ohio State @ Cincinnati 49–64 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Cincinnati @ Youngstown State 83–62 regular
2013-12-05 2014 Morehead State @ Cincinnati 44–75 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Cincinnati @ Fordham N 40–56 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Charlotte @ Cincinnati N 64–71 regular
2013-11-22 2014 Iowa State @ Cincinnati 78–42 regular
2013-11-17 2014 Kent State @ Cincinnati 46–65 regular
2013-11-14 2014 Florida State @ Cincinnati 63–58 regular
2013-11-10 2014 Cincinnati @ Northern Kentucky 61–77 regular