cbb·system

Cincinnati Bearcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.86 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.21 points per possession 0.18
PACE 69.35 possessions per game 4.57

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Cincinnati AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 57.83 to 158.52 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20202210 0.688

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCincinnati auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-09 2020 Cincinnati @ UConn N 53–87 conf_tournament
2020-03-08 2020 Cincinnati @ UCF N 57–51 conf_tournament
2020-03-08 2020 Memphis @ Cincinnati N 52–94 conf_tournament
2020-03-03 2020 East Carolina @ Cincinnati 53–76 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Cincinnati @ Wichita State 75–54 regular
2020-02-27 2020 UConn @ Cincinnati 105–58 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Tulane @ Cincinnati 63–87 regular
2020-02-19 2020 Cincinnati @ Houston 74–65 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Cincinnati @ UCF 42–49 regular
2020-02-12 2020 Tulsa @ Cincinnati 53–78 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Cincinnati @ SMU 73–58 regular
2020-02-02 2020 South Florida @ Cincinnati 55–60 regular
2020-01-31 2020 Cincinnati @ UConn 50–80 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Temple @ Cincinnati 81–86 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Houston @ Cincinnati 66–85 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Cincinnati @ Tulane 59–64 regular
2020-01-12 2020 UCF @ Cincinnati 64–81 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Cincinnati @ Memphis 73–66 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Cincinnati @ South Florida 68–76 regular
2019-12-31 2020 Coppin State @ Cincinnati 40–86 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati 53–69 regular
2019-12-18 2020 Alabama A&M @ Cincinnati 47–62 regular
2019-12-14 2020 Cincinnati @ Xavier 85–78 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Miami (OH) @ Cincinnati 68–98 regular
2019-12-05 2020 Cincinnati @ VCU 58–56 regular
2019-11-28 2020 Bucknell @ Cincinnati N 56–48 regular
2019-11-27 2020 Iowa @ Cincinnati N 69–61 regular
2019-11-20 2020 Chattanooga @ Cincinnati 53–72 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Ball State @ Cincinnati 56–63 regular
2019-11-14 2020 Ohio State @ Cincinnati 78–73 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Saint Louis @ Cincinnati 60–50 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Utah @ Cincinnati 62–68 regular