cbb·system

Cal State Fullerton Titans

mens Big West canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.02 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.83 possessions per game 4.43

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 00:47), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Cal State Fullerton AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans 0.67 to 1.36 over 87 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
2021610 0.375

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdCal State Fullerton auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-10 2021 Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton N 87–82 conf_tournament
2021-03-07 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego 78–85 regular
2021-03-06 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego 85–89 regular
2021-02-21 2021 UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton 64–67 regular
2021-02-20 2021 UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton 89–78 regular
2021-02-14 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly canceled regular
2021-02-13 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly canceled regular
2021-02-07 2021 UC Riverside @ Cal State Fullerton canceled regular
2021-02-06 2021 UC Riverside @ Cal State Fullerton canceled regular
2021-01-31 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Bakersfield 73–83 regular
2021-01-30 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Bakersfield 90–84 regular
2021-01-24 2021 Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton 76–53 regular
2021-01-23 2021 Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton 67–83 regular
2021-01-18 2021 Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton 77–85 regular
2021-01-17 2021 Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton 86–85 regular
2021-01-16 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis canceled regular
2021-01-15 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis canceled regular
2021-01-10 2021 Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton 72–75 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton 82–80 regular
2021-01-03 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara 61–65 regular
2021-01-02 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara 63–81 regular
2020-12-28 2021 Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton canceled regular
2020-12-27 2021 Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton canceled regular
2020-12-19 2021 Pacific @ Cal State Fullerton canceled regular
2020-12-13 2021 San Diego Christian @ Cal State Fullerton 70–94 non_d1
2020-12-12 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ San Diego canceled regular
2020-11-29 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Washington canceled regular
2020-11-27 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Portland State N canceled regular
2020-11-25 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ San Diego N canceled regular