cbb·system

Cal State Fullerton Titans

mens Big West canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.61 points per possession 0.54
DE 0.61 points per possession 0.53
ME 0.00 points per possession 0.76
PACE 71.17 possessions per game 4.46

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-06 01:20), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Cal State Fullerton AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans -1.83 to 2.33 over 88 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
2021610 0.375

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdCal State Fullerton auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-10 2021 Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton N 87–82 conf_tournament
2021-03-07 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego 78–85 regular
2021-03-06 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego 85–89 regular
2021-02-21 2021 UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton 64–67 regular
2021-02-20 2021 UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton 89–78 regular
2021-02-14 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly canceled regular
2021-02-13 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly canceled regular
2021-02-07 2021 UC Riverside @ Cal State Fullerton canceled regular
2021-02-06 2021 UC Riverside @ Cal State Fullerton canceled regular
2021-01-31 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Bakersfield 73–83 regular
2021-01-30 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Bakersfield 90–84 regular
2021-01-24 2021 Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton 76–53 regular
2021-01-23 2021 Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton 67–83 regular
2021-01-18 2021 Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton 77–85 regular
2021-01-17 2021 Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton 86–85 regular
2021-01-16 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis canceled regular
2021-01-15 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis canceled regular
2021-01-10 2021 Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton 72–75 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton 82–80 regular
2021-01-03 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara 61–65 regular
2021-01-02 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara 63–81 regular
2020-12-28 2021 Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton canceled regular
2020-12-27 2021 Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton canceled regular
2020-12-19 2021 Pacific @ Cal State Fullerton canceled regular
2020-12-13 2021 San Diego Christian @ Cal State Fullerton 70–94 non_d1
2020-12-12 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ San Diego canceled regular
2020-11-29 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Washington canceled regular
2020-11-27 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ Portland State N canceled regular
2020-11-25 2021 Cal State Fullerton @ San Diego N canceled regular