Toledo Rockets
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.97 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.93 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.04 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 66.24 | possessions per game | 4.96 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-06 19:00),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 0.63 to 1.28 over
130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | 9 | 0.727 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Toledo | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-20 | 2025 | Toledo @ Minnesota N | 53–65 | other_postseason |
| 2025-03-15 | 2025 | Toledo @ Ball State N | 58–65 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-14 | 2025 | Buffalo @ Toledo N | 49–56 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-12 | 2025 | Central Michigan @ Toledo N | 58–76 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-08 | 2025 | Toledo @ Kent State | 62–69 | regular |
| 2025-03-06 | 2025 | Toledo @ Northern Illinois | 79–70 | regular |
| 2025-03-01 | 2025 | Central Michigan @ Toledo | 70–80 | regular |
| 2025-02-27 | 2025 | Buffalo @ Toledo | 68–71 | regular |
| 2025-02-23 | 2025 | Toledo @ Bowling Green | 72–81 | regular |
| 2025-02-20 | 2025 | Ball State @ Toledo | 66–70 | regular |
| 2025-02-15 | 2025 | Akron @ Toledo | 54–75 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | Toledo @ Old Dominion | 56–52 | regular |
| 2025-02-05 | 2025 | Toledo @ Buffalo | 58–55 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | Toledo @ Eastern Michigan | 77–49 | regular |
| 2025-01-30 | 2025 | Miami (OH) @ Toledo | 59–64 | regular |
| 2025-01-25 | 2025 | Bowling Green @ Toledo | 68–80 | regular |
| 2025-01-20 | 2025 | Toledo @ Ball State | 63–77 | regular |
| 2025-01-18 | 2025 | Ohio @ Toledo | 65–80 | regular |
| 2025-01-16 | 2025 | Toledo @ Western Michigan | 38–41 | regular |
| 2025-01-11 | 2025 | Toledo @ Central Michigan | 71–66 | regular |
| 2025-01-09 | 2025 | Kent State @ Toledo | 59–70 | regular |
| 2025-01-04 | 2025 | Toledo @ Akron | 74–54 | regular |
| 2025-01-01 | 2025 | Northern Illinois @ Toledo | 59–58 | regular |
| 2024-12-28 | 2025 | Defiance @ Toledo | 30–114 | non_d1 |
| 2024-12-20 | 2025 | Toledo @ Liberty N | 71–63 | regular |
| 2024-12-19 | 2025 | Toledo @ Troy N | 70–62 | regular |
| 2024-12-07 | 2025 | Mercyhurst @ Toledo | 66–70 | regular |
| 2024-12-01 | 2025 | Maryland @ Toledo N | 92–70 | regular |
| 2024-11-30 | 2025 | Toledo @ Navy | 58–51 | regular |
| 2024-11-23 | 2025 | Long Beach State @ Toledo | 72–79 | regular |
| 2024-11-17 | 2025 | Northern Kentucky @ Toledo | 73–76 | regular |
| 2024-11-14 | 2025 | Toledo @ Iowa | 57–94 | regular |
| 2024-11-05 | 2025 | Marshall @ Toledo | 68–71 | regular |