cbb·system

Toledo Rockets

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.07 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.10 points per possession 0.16
PACE 66.67 possessions per game 5.00

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Toledo AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.81 to 1.47 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141616 0.500

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbToledo auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-13 2014 Toledo @ Akron N 69–83 conf_tournament
2014-03-12 2014 Western Michigan @ Toledo N 61–72 conf_tournament
2014-03-10 2014 Ohio @ Toledo 44–61 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Toledo @ Ball State 56–69 regular
2014-03-06 2014 Eastern Michigan @ Toledo 52–88 regular
2014-03-02 2014 Central Michigan @ Toledo 80–77 regular
2014-02-27 2014 Toledo @ Northern Illinois 59–68 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Western Michigan @ Toledo 60–59 regular
2014-02-20 2014 Toledo @ Eastern Michigan 80–73 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Ohio @ Toledo 58–62 regular
2014-02-09 2014 Toledo @ Kent State 83–55 regular
2014-02-07 2014 Toledo @ Miami (OH) 73–65 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Bowling Green @ Toledo 66–59 regular
2014-01-31 2014 Akron @ Toledo 82–62 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Toledo @ Ohio 64–62 regular
2014-01-23 2014 Ball State @ Toledo 61–73 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Toledo @ Western Michigan 72–78 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Toledo @ Buffalo 46–51 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Miami (OH) @ Toledo 52–68 regular
2014-01-09 2014 Northern Illinois @ Toledo 71–73 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Toledo @ Central Michigan 71–84 regular
2013-12-30 2014 Toledo @ Evansville 80–90 regular
2013-12-22 2014 Dayton @ Toledo 87–75 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Toledo @ St. Bonaventure 64–62 regular
2013-12-07 2014 Valparaiso @ Toledo 63–61 regular
2013-12-07 2014 Detroit Mercy @ Toledo 70–79 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Toledo @ Saint Mary's 57–81 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ Toledo N 58–59 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Toledo @ Kansas City 96–81 regular
2013-11-17 2014 Purdue @ Toledo 81–79 regular
2013-11-10 2014 Mississippi Valley State @ Toledo 48–95 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Drexel @ Toledo 65–52 regular