cbb·system

Toledo Rockets

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.95 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.85 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.10 points per possession 0.17
PACE 66.87 possessions per game 4.66

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Toledo AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.69 to 1.23 over 37 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151914 0.576

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbToledo auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-23 2015 Michigan @ Toledo 74–58 other_postseason
2015-03-20 2015 Wright State @ Toledo 64–72 other_postseason
2015-03-11 2015 Toledo @ Eastern Michigan N 57–74 conf_tournament
2015-03-09 2015 Miami (OH) @ Toledo 47–62 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Toledo @ Ball State 55–71 regular
2015-03-04 2015 Toledo @ Northern Illinois 64–68 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Central Michigan @ Toledo 53–62 regular
2015-02-25 2015 Western Michigan @ Toledo 57–67 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Toledo @ Eastern Michigan 81–72 regular
2015-02-18 2015 Northern Illinois @ Toledo 57–73 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Toledo @ Akron 56–82 regular
2015-02-12 2015 Toledo @ Central Michigan 61–46 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Ball State @ Toledo 69–61 regular
2015-02-05 2015 Toledo @ Buffalo 61–68 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Toledo @ Bowling Green 64–48 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Eastern Michigan @ Toledo 75–61 regular
2015-01-22 2015 Buffalo @ Toledo 63–75 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Toledo @ Western Michigan 65–46 regular
2015-01-15 2015 Akron @ Toledo 102–101 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Toledo @ Ohio 58–65 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Kent State @ Toledo 49–67 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Miami (OH) @ Toledo 53–63 regular
2014-12-31 2015 Parkside @ Toledo 43–70 non_d1
2014-12-20 2015 Southern Illinois @ Toledo N 48–64 regular
2014-12-19 2015 Toledo @ Nevada N 65–56 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Detroit Mercy @ Toledo 83–72 regular
2014-12-13 2015 Idaho @ Toledo 67–80 regular
2014-12-10 2015 Toledo @ Dayton 57–79 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Toledo @ Arizona N 69–54 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Toledo @ Virginia N 64–62 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Toledo @ Purdue 48–66 regular
2014-11-21 2015 St. Bonaventure @ Toledo 58–64 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Toledo @ Cleveland State 71–81 regular