Toledo Rockets
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2018
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.94 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.89 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.06 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 69.06 | possessions per game | 4.81 |
At season 2018's latest cutoff
(2018-04-01 22:00),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018.
Axis spans 0.66 to 1.21 over
123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2018
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | 15 | 0.545 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Toledo | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-19 | 2018 | Toledo @ Michigan State | 66–68 | other_postseason |
| 2018-03-16 | 2018 | Wright State @ Toledo | 50–64 | other_postseason |
| 2018-03-06 | 2018 | Kent State @ Toledo | 80–76 | conf_tournament |
| 2018-03-03 | 2018 | Central Michigan @ Toledo | 72–67 | regular |
| 2018-03-01 | 2018 | Toledo @ Northern Illinois | 79–89 | regular |
| 2018-02-24 | 2018 | Toledo @ Ball State | 73–78 | regular |
| 2018-02-22 | 2018 | Eastern Michigan @ Toledo | 69–80 | regular |
| 2018-02-17 | 2018 | Western Michigan @ Toledo | 68–69 | regular |
| 2018-02-10 | 2018 | Toledo @ Central Michigan | 47–85 | regular |
| 2018-02-08 | 2018 | Toledo @ Miami (OH) | 58–67 | regular |
| 2018-02-03 | 2018 | Buffalo @ Toledo | 84–73 | regular |
| 2018-02-01 | 2018 | Toledo @ Western Michigan | 78–73 | regular |
| 2018-01-27 | 2018 | Toledo @ Bowling Green | 77–67 | regular |
| 2018-01-25 | 2018 | Kent State @ Toledo | 62–55 | regular |
| 2018-01-20 | 2018 | Toledo @ Buffalo | 69–87 | regular |
| 2018-01-18 | 2018 | Ball State @ Toledo | 66–72 | regular |
| 2018-01-13 | 2018 | Northern Illinois @ Toledo | 60–63 | regular |
| 2018-01-11 | 2018 | Ohio @ Toledo | 57–75 | regular |
| 2018-01-06 | 2018 | Toledo @ Eastern Michigan | 57–70 | regular |
| 2018-01-04 | 2018 | Akron @ Toledo | 54–60 | regular |
| 2017-12-31 | 2018 | Toledo @ Ohio | 61–78 | regular |
| 2017-12-21 | 2018 | Toledo @ Detroit Mercy | 81–64 | regular |
| 2017-12-18 | 2018 | Toledo @ Southern N | 81–76 | regular |
| 2017-12-17 | 2018 | Western Kentucky @ Toledo N | 70–56 | regular |
| 2017-12-09 | 2018 | Cleveland State @ Toledo | 56–65 | regular |
| 2017-12-06 | 2018 | Toledo @ Duquesne | 54–73 | regular |
| 2017-12-05 | 2018 | Toledo @ St. Bonaventure | 58–39 | regular |
| 2017-12-01 | 2018 | Maine @ Toledo | 64–65 | regular |
| 2017-11-27 | 2018 | Toledo @ Iona | 74–57 | regular |
| 2017-11-23 | 2018 | Dayton @ Toledo | 50–68 | regular |
| 2017-11-18 | 2018 | Louisiana @ Toledo | 55–79 | regular |
| 2017-11-15 | 2018 | Toledo @ Louisville | 55–90 | regular |
| 2017-11-11 | 2018 | Saint Francis @ Toledo | 66–74 | regular |