cbb·system

Toledo Rockets

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.03 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.25 possessions per game 4.66

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Toledo AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.57 to 1.26 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201417 0.452

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbToledo auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-13 2020 Toledo @ Ohio N canceled conf_tournament
2020-03-11 2020 Toledo @ Central Michigan N 78–71 conf_tournament
2020-03-09 2020 Toledo @ Akron 63–59 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Northern Illinois @ Toledo 86–79 regular
2020-03-05 2020 Central Michigan @ Toledo 67–76 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Toledo @ Eastern Michigan 46–64 regular
2020-02-27 2020 Toledo @ Ball State 60–66 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Western Michigan @ Toledo 70–58 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Toledo @ Ohio 58–86 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Toledo @ Kent State 68–87 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Ball State @ Toledo 60–58 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Toledo @ Buffalo 78–62 regular
2020-02-06 2020 Toledo @ Miami (OH) 83–92 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Kent State @ Toledo 60–69 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Eastern Michigan @ Toledo 77–62 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Toledo @ Central Michigan 66–73 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Bowling Green @ Toledo 72–79 regular
2020-01-16 2020 Akron @ Toledo 61–65 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Toledo @ Northern Illinois 63–51 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Buffalo @ Toledo 59–71 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Toledo @ Western Michigan 72–84 regular
2019-12-29 2020 Canisius @ Toledo 65–83 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Toledo @ Pacific N 66–65 regular
2019-12-19 2020 Troy @ Toledo N 71–64 regular
2019-12-14 2020 Toledo @ Detroit Mercy 82–64 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Toledo @ Duquesne 74–79 regular
2019-12-03 2020 Belmont @ Toledo 48–53 regular
2019-11-28 2020 Valparaiso @ Toledo 61–54 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Memphis @ Toledo 83–76 regular
2019-11-21 2020 Toledo @ Notre Dame 51–54 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Dayton @ Toledo 60–42 regular
2019-11-05 2020 Toledo @ Georgia State 74–48 regular