Toledo Rockets
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Round of 32 (out) 2023
Ratings · 2023
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.05 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.92 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.14 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 67.66 | possessions per game | 4.58 |
At season 2023's latest cutoff
(2023-04-02 19:30),
with 34 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023.
Axis spans 56.97 to 132.81 over
125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2023
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 29 | 5 | 0.853 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Toledo | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-20 | 2023 | Toledo @ Tennessee | 47–94 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2023-03-18 | 2023 | Toledo @ Iowa State N | 80–73 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2023-03-11 | 2023 | Bowling Green @ Toledo N | 58–73 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-10 | 2023 | Kent State @ Toledo N | 58–68 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-08 | 2023 | Buffalo @ Toledo N | 74–75 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-04 | 2023 | Bowling Green @ Toledo | 56–62 | regular |
| 2023-03-02 | 2023 | Kent State @ Toledo | 60–64 | regular |
| 2023-02-25 | 2023 | Toledo @ Ball State | 72–70 | regular |
| 2023-02-23 | 2023 | Toledo @ Akron | 80–76 | regular |
| 2023-02-18 | 2023 | Eastern Michigan @ Toledo | 64–84 | regular |
| 2023-02-16 | 2023 | Toledo @ Western Michigan | 75–44 | regular |
| 2023-02-11 | 2023 | Toledo @ Miami (OH) | 71–58 | regular |
| 2023-02-09 | 2023 | Buffalo @ Toledo | 73–91 | regular |
| 2023-02-04 | 2023 | Ohio @ Toledo | 55–66 | regular |
| 2023-02-02 | 2023 | Toledo @ Central Michigan | 74–60 | regular |
| 2023-01-28 | 2023 | Toledo @ Eastern Michigan | 79–73 | regular |
| 2023-01-26 | 2023 | Miami (OH) @ Toledo | 63–82 | regular |
| 2023-01-21 | 2023 | Akron @ Toledo | 63–76 | regular |
| 2023-01-19 | 2023 | Toledo @ Bowling Green | 76–88 | regular |
| 2023-01-14 | 2023 | Toledo @ Kent State | 77–68 | regular |
| 2023-01-12 | 2023 | Ball State @ Toledo | 76–83 | regular |
| 2023-01-07 | 2023 | Toledo @ Northern Illinois | 66–67 | regular |
| 2023-01-05 | 2023 | Western Michigan @ Toledo | 53–71 | regular |
| 2022-12-22 | 2023 | Oakland @ Toledo | 44–74 | regular |
| 2022-12-11 | 2023 | Dayton @ Toledo | 45–57 | regular |
| 2022-12-09 | 2023 | Toledo @ Michigan | 71–68 | regular |
| 2022-12-04 | 2023 | Missouri State @ Toledo | 63–91 | regular |
| 2022-11-30 | 2023 | Toledo @ Loyola Maryland | 62–40 | regular |
| 2022-11-26 | 2023 | UT Arlington @ Toledo N | 70–80 | regular |
| 2022-11-25 | 2023 | Toledo @ Penn State N | 59–60 | regular |
| 2022-11-20 | 2023 | Duke @ Toledo | 58–41 | regular |
| 2022-11-16 | 2023 | Toledo @ Cincinnati | 74–71 | regular |
| 2022-11-11 | 2023 | Canisius @ Toledo | 66–93 | regular |
| 2022-11-07 | 2023 | Wright State @ Toledo | 56–88 | regular |