Toledo Rockets
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.94 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.91 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.03 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 66.34 | possessions per game | 4.70 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-05 19:30),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 56.93 to 126.10 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17 | 15 | 0.531 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Toledo | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | 2026 | Toledo @ Miami (OH) N | 58–68 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-13 | 2026 | Toledo @ Ball State N | 69–65 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-11 | 2026 | Toledo @ Massachusetts N | 67–56 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-07 | 2026 | Ball State @ Toledo | 78–71 | regular |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026 | Toledo @ Western Michigan | 56–49 | regular |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026 | Toledo @ Buffalo | 66–69 | regular |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026 | Central Michigan @ Toledo | 68–64 | regular |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026 | Toledo @ Bowling Green | 52–61 | regular |
| 2026-02-18 | 2026 | Toledo @ Massachusetts | 60–52 | regular |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026 | Eastern Michigan @ Toledo | 51–62 | regular |
| 2026-02-11 | 2026 | Ohio @ Toledo | 71–67 | regular |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026 | Southern Miss @ Toledo | 67–76 | regular |
| 2026-02-04 | 2026 | Toledo @ Akron | 74–77 | regular |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026 | Bowling Green @ Toledo | 49–59 | regular |
| 2026-01-29 | 2026 | Kent State @ Toledo | 53–59 | regular |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026 | Toledo @ Ohio | 75–66 | regular |
| 2026-01-20 | 2026 | Toledo @ Eastern Michigan | 71–76 | regular |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026 | Northern Illinois @ Toledo | 49–70 | regular |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026 | Western Michigan @ Toledo | 46–59 | regular |
| 2026-01-07 | 2026 | Toledo @ Ball State | 68–72 | regular |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026 | Toledo @ Miami (OH) | 55–63 | regular |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026 | Buffalo @ Toledo | 46–79 | regular |
| 2025-12-22 | 2026 | Toledo @ Long Beach State | 64–43 | regular |
| 2025-12-18 | 2026 | Wayne State (MI) @ Toledo | 63–75 | non_d1 |
| 2025-12-14 | 2026 | Toledo @ Ohio State | 60–85 | regular |
| 2025-12-06 | 2026 | Northern Iowa @ Toledo | 68–52 | regular |
| 2025-12-03 | 2026 | Morgan State @ Toledo | 66–79 | regular |
| 2025-11-25 | 2026 | Toledo @ Youngstown State | 69–65 | regular |
| 2025-11-19 | 2026 | Toledo @ Northern Kentucky | 61–70 | regular |
| 2025-11-16 | 2026 | Detroit Mercy @ Toledo | 52–66 | regular |
| 2025-11-09 | 2026 | Gonzaga @ Toledo | 72–69 | regular |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | Toledo @ Troy | 51–88 | regular |