cbb·system

Nicholls Colonels

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.89 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.04 points per possession 0.17
PACE 73.93 possessions per game 4.33

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Nicholls AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.56 to 1.16 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151713 0.567

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNicholls auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-13 2015 Northwestern State @ Nicholls N 84–67 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Nicholls @ SE Louisiana 77–74 regular
2015-03-05 2015 Central Arkansas @ Nicholls 43–53 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Nicholls @ McNeese 73–68 regular
2015-02-27 2015 Nicholls @ LSU New Orleans 63–68 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Nicholls @ Stephen F. Austin 59–68 regular
2015-02-19 2015 Northwestern State @ Nicholls 40–59 regular
2015-02-14 2015 SE Louisiana @ Nicholls 80–93 regular
2015-02-07 2015 McNeese @ Nicholls 59–70 regular
2015-02-05 2015 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word 69–58 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Incarnate Word @ Nicholls 34–67 regular
2015-01-30 2015 LSU New Orleans @ Nicholls 40–56 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Nicholls @ Central Arkansas 75–72 regular
2015-01-22 2015 Nicholls @ Northwestern State 71–74 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls 75–59 regular
2015-01-16 2015 Sam Houston @ Nicholls 64–67 regular
2015-01-11 2015 Nicholls @ Abilene Christian 63–39 regular
2015-01-09 2015 Houston Christian @ Nicholls 58–70 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Nicholls @ Lamar 62–67 regular
2014-12-30 2015 Southern Miss @ Nicholls 89–57 regular
2014-12-21 2015 UTSA @ Nicholls N 49–57 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Nicholls @ Houston N 47–65 regular
2014-12-19 2015 Nicholls @ Texas Tech 49–76 regular
2014-12-16 2015 Nicholls @ Louisiana Tech 62–80 regular
2014-12-06 2015 South Alabama @ Nicholls 62–66 regular
2014-12-04 2015 Nicholls @ Tulane 44–77 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Nicholls @ Norfolk State N 69–64 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Youngstown State @ Nicholls N 51–50 regular
2014-11-21 2015 LSU Alexandria @ Nicholls canceled non_d1
2014-11-19 2015 Southern New Orleans @ Nicholls 84–87 non_d1
2014-11-14 2015 Nicholls @ Arkansas 52–63 regular