cbb·system

Nicholls Colonels

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2018

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.10 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.08 possessions per game 4.75

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Nicholls AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 59.37 to 83.49 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181914 0.576

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNicholls auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-17 2018 Nicholls @ Mississippi State N 50–95 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-11 2018 Nicholls @ Stephen F. Austin N 69–65 conf_tournament
2018-03-10 2018 Nicholls @ Lamar N 74–68 conf_tournament
2018-03-09 2018 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls N 59–61 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Nicholls @ SE Louisiana 79–64 regular
2018-03-01 2018 Northwestern State @ Nicholls 53–85 regular
2018-02-24 2018 LSU New Orleans @ Nicholls 48–72 regular
2018-02-22 2018 McNeese @ Nicholls 51–63 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Nicholls @ Central Arkansas 42–60 regular
2018-02-15 2018 Nicholls @ Sam Houston 70–65 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Houston Christian @ Nicholls 45–63 regular
2018-02-08 2018 Abilene Christian @ Nicholls 60–81 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Nicholls @ LSU New Orleans 62–61 regular
2018-01-27 2018 SE Louisiana @ Nicholls 66–57 regular
2018-01-25 2018 Lamar @ Nicholls 76–61 regular
2018-01-18 2018 Nicholls @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 55–76 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Central Arkansas @ Nicholls 69–48 regular
2018-01-11 2018 Nicholls @ McNeese 61–54 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Nicholls @ Houston Christian 73–61 regular
2018-01-04 2018 Stephen F. Austin @ Nicholls 86–73 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word 62–64 regular
2017-12-29 2018 Nicholls @ Northwestern State 79–63 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Nicholls @ Iowa State 47–75 regular
2017-12-19 2018 Baylor @ Nicholls 85–43 regular
2017-12-15 2018 Nicholls @ Mississippi Valley State 62–57 regular
2017-12-02 2018 Nicholls @ Jackson State 90–64 regular
2017-11-29 2018 Southern New Orleans @ Nicholls 45–83 non_d1
2017-11-25 2018 Evangel @ Nicholls N 55–72 non_d1
2017-11-24 2018 Nicholls @ Bradley N 65–75 regular
2017-11-22 2018 Nicholls @ LSU 50–65 regular
2017-11-18 2018 Jacksonville @ Nicholls 69–61 regular
2017-11-15 2018 Spring Hill @ Nicholls 70–78 non_d1
2017-11-10 2018 Nicholls @ SMU 61–68 regular