cbb·system

Arkansas Razorbacks

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.77 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.28 points per possession 0.17
PACE 63.93 possessions per game 5.11

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Arkansas AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 53.11 to 152.88 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141911 0.633

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbArkansas auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-06 2014 Ole Miss @ Arkansas N 63–62 conf_tournament
2014-03-02 2014 Missouri @ Arkansas 70–72 regular
2014-02-28 2014 Arkansas @ Texas A&M 54–77 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Arkansas @ LSU 57–53 regular
2014-02-21 2014 Vanderbilt @ Arkansas 56–50 regular
2014-02-14 2014 Alabama @ Arkansas 55–75 regular
2014-02-09 2014 Arkansas @ South Carolina 49–67 regular
2014-02-07 2014 Florida @ Arkansas 49–55 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Auburn @ Arkansas 56–48 regular
2014-01-31 2014 Arkansas @ Tennessee 60–70 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Arkansas @ Kentucky 58–68 regular
2014-01-19 2014 Ole Miss @ Arkansas 65–68 regular
2014-01-17 2014 Arkansas @ Georgia 58–60 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Mississippi State @ Arkansas 54–50 regular
2014-01-10 2014 Arkansas @ Florida 52–59 regular
2014-01-05 2014 Arkansas @ Missouri 69–66 regular
2014-01-03 2014 South Carolina @ Arkansas 55–51 regular
2013-12-28 2014 Mississippi Valley State @ Arkansas 54–100 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Tennessee Tech @ Arkansas 53–79 regular
2013-12-11 2014 Tulsa @ Arkansas 43–81 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Northwestern State @ Arkansas 53–74 regular
2013-12-05 2014 Arkansas @ Kansas 64–53 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Binghamton @ Arkansas N 23–72 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Southeast Missouri State @ Arkansas N 37–88 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Western Michigan @ Arkansas 46–61 regular
2013-11-23 2014 Missouri State @ Arkansas 44–78 regular
2013-11-20 2014 Middle Tennessee @ Arkansas 51–66 regular
2013-11-16 2014 Furman @ Arkansas 45–74 regular
2013-11-14 2014 Oral Roberts @ Arkansas 33–91 regular
2013-11-08 2014 Sam Houston @ Arkansas 45–81 regular