cbb·system

Iowa State Cyclones

mens Big 12 canonical name from espn_mbb #2 Sweet 16 (out) 2024

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.18 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.87 points per possession 0.16
ME 0.30 points per possession 0.20
PACE 66.22 possessions per game 4.61

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-09 01:20), with 37 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Iowa State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans 0.56 to 1.21 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
2024298 0.784

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdIowa State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-29 2024 Illinois @ Iowa State N 72–69 ncaa_tournament
2024-03-23 2024 Washington State @ Iowa State N 56–67 ncaa_tournament
2024-03-21 2024 South Dakota State @ Iowa State N 65–82 ncaa_tournament
2024-03-16 2024 Iowa State @ Houston N 69–41 conf_tournament
2024-03-16 2024 Baylor @ Iowa State N 62–76 conf_tournament
2024-03-14 2024 Kansas State @ Iowa State N 57–76 conf_tournament
2024-03-09 2024 Iowa State @ Kansas State 58–65 regular
2024-03-07 2024 BYU @ Iowa State 63–68 regular
2024-03-02 2024 Iowa State @ UCF 60–52 regular
2024-02-29 2024 Oklahoma @ Iowa State 45–58 regular
2024-02-24 2024 West Virginia @ Iowa State 64–71 regular
2024-02-20 2024 Iowa State @ Houston 65–73 regular
2024-02-17 2024 Texas Tech @ Iowa State 74–82 regular
2024-02-14 2024 Iowa State @ Cincinnati 68–59 regular
2024-02-10 2024 TCU @ Iowa State 59–71 regular
2024-02-07 2024 Iowa State @ Texas 70–65 regular
2024-02-04 2024 Iowa State @ Baylor 68–70 regular
2024-01-27 2024 Kansas @ Iowa State 75–79 regular
2024-01-25 2024 Kansas State @ Iowa State 67–78 regular
2024-01-20 2024 Iowa State @ TCU 73–72 regular
2024-01-17 2024 Iowa State @ BYU 72–87 regular
2024-01-14 2024 Oklahoma State @ Iowa State 42–66 regular
2024-01-10 2024 Houston @ Iowa State 53–57 regular
2024-01-06 2024 Iowa State @ Oklahoma 63–71 regular
2023-12-31 2024 New Hampshire @ Iowa State 70–85 regular
2023-12-22 2024 Eastern Illinois @ Iowa State 48–80 regular
2023-12-17 2024 Florida A&M @ Iowa State 58–96 regular
2023-12-10 2024 Prairie View A&M @ Iowa State 56–107 regular
2023-12-08 2024 Iowa @ Iowa State 65–90 regular
2023-12-02 2024 Iowa State @ DePaul 99–80 regular
2023-11-26 2024 Texas A&M @ Iowa State N 73–69 regular
2023-11-24 2024 Iowa State @ Virginia Tech N 62–71 regular
2023-11-23 2024 Iowa State @ VCU N 68–64 regular
2023-11-19 2024 Grambling @ Iowa State 37–92 regular
2023-11-12 2024 Idaho State @ Iowa State 55–86 regular
2023-11-10 2024 Lindenwood @ Iowa State 47–102 regular
2023-11-07 2024 Green Bay @ Iowa State 44–85 regular