cbb·system

Iowa State Cyclones

mens Big 12 canonical name from espn_mbb #11 Sweet 16 (out) 2022

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.04 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.90 points per possession 0.15
ME 0.15 points per possession 0.20
PACE 65.96 possessions per game 4.54

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Iowa State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.77 to 1.32 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20222213 0.629

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdIowa State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-26 2022 Iowa State @ Miami N 56–70 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-20 2022 Iowa State @ Wisconsin N 54–49 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-18 2022 Iowa State @ LSU N 59–54 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-11 2022 Iowa State @ Texas Tech N 41–72 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Iowa State @ Baylor 68–75 regular
2022-03-03 2022 Oklahoma State @ Iowa State 53–36 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Iowa State @ Kansas State 74–73 regular
2022-02-24 2022 West Virginia @ Iowa State 81–84 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Oklahoma @ Iowa State 54–75 regular
2022-02-16 2022 Iowa State @ TCU 54–51 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Kansas State @ Iowa State 75–69 regular
2022-02-09 2022 Iowa State @ West Virginia 63–79 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Iowa State @ Texas 41–63 regular
2022-02-02 2022 Kansas @ Iowa State 70–61 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Missouri @ Iowa State 50–67 regular
2022-01-27 2022 Iowa State @ Oklahoma State 84–81 regular
2022-01-22 2022 TCU @ Iowa State 59–44 regular
2022-01-19 2022 Iowa State @ Texas Tech 60–72 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Texas @ Iowa State 70–79 regular
2022-01-12 2022 Iowa State @ Kansas 61–62 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Iowa State @ Oklahoma 66–79 regular
2022-01-06 2022 Texas Tech @ Iowa State 47–51 regular
2022-01-01 2022 Baylor @ Iowa State 77–72 regular
2021-12-22 2022 Chicago State @ Iowa State 48–79 regular
2021-12-19 2022 SE Louisiana @ Iowa State 54–77 regular
2021-12-12 2022 Jackson State @ Iowa State 37–47 regular
2021-12-10 2022 Iowa @ Iowa State 53–73 regular
2021-12-05 2022 Iowa State @ Creighton 64–58 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Iowa State 64–83 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Iowa State @ Memphis N 78–59 regular
2021-11-25 2022 Xavier @ Iowa State N 70–82 regular
2021-11-21 2022 Grambling @ Iowa State 47–82 regular
2021-11-17 2022 Alabama State @ Iowa State 60–68 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Oregon State @ Iowa State 50–60 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Kennesaw State @ Iowa State 73–84 regular