cbb·system

Iowa State Cyclones

mens Big 12 canonical name from espn_mbb #6 Round of 64 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.11 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.20 points per possession 0.19
PACE 63.82 possessions per game 4.52

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Iowa State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.76 to 1.38 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231914 0.576

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdIowa State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-17 2023 Pittsburgh @ Iowa State N 59–41 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-11 2023 Iowa State @ Kansas N 58–71 conf_tournament
2023-03-09 2023 Iowa State @ Baylor N 78–72 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Iowa State @ Baylor 73–58 regular
2023-02-28 2023 West Virginia @ Iowa State 72–69 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Oklahoma @ Iowa State 61–50 regular
2023-02-22 2023 Iowa State @ Texas 54–72 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Iowa State @ Kansas State 55–61 regular
2023-02-16 2023 TCU @ Iowa State 59–70 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Oklahoma State @ Iowa State 64–56 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Iowa State @ West Virginia 71–76 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Kansas @ Iowa State 53–68 regular
2023-01-31 2023 Iowa State @ Texas Tech 77–80 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Iowa State @ Missouri 61–78 regular
2023-01-25 2023 Kansas State @ Iowa State 76–80 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Iowa State @ Oklahoma State 59–61 regular
2023-01-18 2023 Texas @ Iowa State 67–78 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Iowa State @ Kansas 60–62 regular
2023-01-11 2023 Texas Tech @ Iowa State 50–84 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Iowa State @ TCU 69–67 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Iowa State @ Oklahoma 63–60 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Baylor @ Iowa State 62–77 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Omaha @ Iowa State canceled regular
2022-12-18 2023 Western Michigan @ Iowa State 57–73 regular
2022-12-11 2023 McNeese @ Iowa State 40–77 regular
2022-12-09 2023 Iowa State @ Iowa 56–75 regular
2022-12-04 2023 St. John's @ Iowa State 60–71 regular
2022-12-01 2023 North Dakota @ Iowa State 44–63 regular
2022-11-28 2023 Iowa State @ UConn N 53–71 regular
2022-11-25 2023 North Carolina @ Iowa State N 65–70 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Iowa State @ Villanova N 81–79 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Milwaukee @ Iowa State 53–68 regular
2022-11-13 2023 North Carolina A&T @ Iowa State 43–80 regular
2022-11-08 2023 IU Indianapolis @ Iowa State 39–88 regular