cbb·system

Northern Colorado Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.90 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.02 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.65 possessions per game 4.94

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northern Colorado AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.33 to 1.73 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192111 0.656

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthern Colorado auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-22 2019 Northern Colorado @ Wyoming 60–68 other_postseason
2019-03-14 2019 Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado N 59–57 conf_tournament
2019-03-12 2019 Southern Utah @ Northern Colorado N 50–82 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona 68–79 regular
2019-03-08 2019 Southern Utah @ Northern Colorado 71–88 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Northern Colorado @ Weber State 75–61 regular
2019-03-01 2019 Northern Colorado @ Idaho State 61–59 regular
2019-02-26 2019 Montana @ Northern Colorado 61–79 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Idaho @ Northern Colorado 72–77 regular
2019-02-15 2019 Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado 76–72 regular
2019-02-12 2019 Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State 71–61 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Northern Colorado @ Portland State 66–85 regular
2019-02-05 2019 Northern Colorado @ Montana State 84–73 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado 53–63 regular
2019-01-25 2019 Northern Colorado @ Southern Utah 71–44 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Idaho State @ Northern Colorado 56–60 regular
2019-01-17 2019 Weber State @ Northern Colorado 55–54 regular
2019-01-15 2019 Montana State @ Northern Colorado 79–66 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Northern Colorado @ Montana 73–62 regular
2019-01-08 2019 Northern Colorado @ Eastern Washington 67–62 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Northern Colorado @ Idaho 86–72 regular
2019-01-01 2019 Portland State @ Northern Colorado 63–79 regular
2018-12-29 2019 Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado 69–82 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Northern Colorado @ BYU 50–70 regular
2018-12-14 2019 Chattanooga @ Northern Colorado 65–68 regular
2018-12-01 2019 SMU @ Northern Colorado 57–58 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Northern Colorado @ Air Force 57–69 regular
2018-11-23 2019 Northern Colorado @ San Francisco 68–63 regular
2018-11-21 2019 Northern Colorado @ Colorado State 53–47 regular
2018-11-17 2019 Denver @ Northern Colorado 66–74 regular
2018-11-11 2019 Northern Colorado @ LSU 57–62 regular
2018-11-07 2019 Northern Colorado @ Colorado 69–77 regular