cbb·system

Northern Colorado Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.07 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.87 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.19 points per possession 0.17
PACE 64.44 possessions per game 4.86

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Northern Colorado AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.74 to 1.33 over 38 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20152213 0.629

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthern Colorado auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-27 2015 Northern Colorado @ UCLA 60–74 other_postseason
2015-03-22 2015 South Dakota @ Northern Colorado 58–59 other_postseason
2015-03-20 2015 Northern Colorado @ Colorado State 53–48 other_postseason
2015-03-14 2015 Northern Colorado @ Montana 49–60 conf_tournament
2015-03-13 2015 Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State N 81–79 conf_tournament
2015-03-11 2015 North Dakota @ Northern Colorado N 64–72 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Northern Colorado @ North Dakota 67–56 regular
2015-03-01 2015 Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona 88–67 regular
2015-02-27 2015 Northern Colorado @ Southern Utah 88–66 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Portland State @ Northern Colorado 50–90 regular
2015-02-20 2015 Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado 76–78 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Northern Colorado @ Montana 52–51 regular
2015-02-13 2015 Northern Colorado @ Montana State 84–63 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Southern Utah @ Northern Colorado 58–87 regular
2015-02-06 2015 Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado 51–49 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Northern Colorado @ Weber State 52–59 regular
2015-01-30 2015 Northern Colorado @ Idaho State 61–70 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Idaho @ Northern Colorado 52–70 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado 56–64 regular
2015-01-17 2015 North Dakota @ Northern Colorado 68–58 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State 71–76 regular
2015-01-09 2015 Northern Colorado @ Portland State 68–54 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Montana State @ Northern Colorado 61–80 regular
2015-01-01 2015 Montana @ Northern Colorado 64–58 regular
2014-12-19 2015 Northern Colorado @ Florida Gulf Coast 56–69 regular
2014-12-18 2015 Northern Colorado @ South Florida 43–84 regular
2014-12-15 2015 Northern Colorado @ Utah State 61–65 regular
2014-12-11 2015 Grand Canyon @ Northern Colorado 47–66 regular
2014-12-06 2015 South Dakota State @ Northern Colorado 71–48 regular
2014-12-03 2015 Air Force @ Northern Colorado 35–76 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Northern Colorado @ Nebraska 56–63 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Northern Colorado @ Omaha 67–58 regular
2014-11-25 2015 Western Colorado @ Northern Colorado 37–85 non_d1
2014-11-17 2015 Northern Colorado @ North Texas 53–48 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Northern Colorado @ SMU 57–44 regular