cbb·system

Northern Colorado Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.84 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.10 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.90 possessions per game 4.54

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northern Colorado AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.56 to 1.16 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201318 0.419

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthern Colorado auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-10 2020 Northern Colorado @ Montana State N 62–67 conf_tournament
2020-03-09 2020 Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado N 61–79 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Montana State @ Northern Colorado 73–63 regular
2020-03-05 2020 Montana @ Northern Colorado 70–55 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Northern Colorado @ Eastern Washington 67–61 regular
2020-02-28 2020 Northern Colorado @ Idaho 65–70 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Idaho State @ Northern Colorado 71–55 regular
2020-02-21 2020 Northern Colorado @ Southern Utah 50–64 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado 73–90 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado 71–60 regular
2020-02-11 2020 Northern Colorado @ Portland State 78–51 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Southern Utah @ Northern Colorado 68–55 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Northern Colorado @ Weber State 69–65 regular
2020-01-31 2020 Northern Colorado @ Idaho State 39–59 regular
2020-01-27 2020 Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado 42–63 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Idaho @ Northern Colorado 57–46 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona 45–72 regular
2020-01-16 2020 Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State 73–63 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Weber State @ Northern Colorado 65–60 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Northern Colorado @ Montana 67–58 regular
2020-01-03 2020 Northern Colorado @ Montana State 58–91 regular
2019-12-28 2020 Portland State @ Northern Colorado 58–77 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Northern Colorado @ Wyoming 46–44 regular
2019-12-05 2020 Northern Colorado @ Denver 55–74 regular
2019-11-27 2020 Northern Colorado @ Chattanooga 59–42 regular
2019-11-23 2020 Northern Colorado @ UCLA 58–92 regular
2019-11-20 2020 Air Force @ Northern Colorado 62–72 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Northern Colorado @ SMU 61–52 regular
2019-11-15 2020 Northern Colorado @ Stanford 36–90 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Colorado State @ Northern Colorado 75–58 regular
2019-11-06 2020 San Francisco @ Northern Colorado 90–83 regular