cbb·system

Northern Colorado Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.04 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.71 possessions per game 5.46

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northern Colorado AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans 0.61 to 1.22 over 102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
20211412 0.538

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthern Colorado auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-11 2021 Northern Colorado @ Idaho State N 55–65 conf_tournament
2021-03-09 2021 Southern Utah @ Northern Colorado N 59–63 conf_tournament
2021-03-06 2021 Weber State @ Northern Colorado 66–71 regular
2021-03-04 2021 Weber State @ Northern Colorado 60–83 regular
2021-02-27 2021 Northern Colorado @ Portland State 62–60 regular
2021-02-26 2021 Northern Colorado @ Portland State 73–51 regular
2021-02-13 2021 Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado 67–90 regular
2021-02-11 2021 Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State 67–50 regular
2021-02-06 2021 Southern Utah @ Northern Colorado canceled regular
2021-02-05 2021 Southern Utah @ Northern Colorado 70–63 regular
2021-01-30 2021 Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona 81–84 regular
2021-01-29 2021 Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado 54–59 regular
2021-01-23 2021 Northern Colorado @ Eastern Washington 74–55 regular
2021-01-22 2021 Northern Colorado @ Eastern Washington 58–55 regular
2021-01-16 2021 Idaho @ Northern Colorado 74–57 regular
2021-01-15 2021 Idaho @ Northern Colorado 61–63 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Northern Colorado @ Montana State 57–49 regular
2021-01-08 2021 Northern Colorado @ Montana State 46–54 regular
2021-01-03 2021 Montana @ Northern Colorado 76–77 regular
2021-01-02 2021 Montana @ Northern Colorado 60–56 regular
2021-01-01 2021 Montana @ Northern Colorado canceled regular
2020-12-20 2021 Wyoming @ Northern Colorado 53–50 regular
2020-12-17 2021 Northern Colorado @ Idaho State 50–63 regular
2020-12-15 2021 Northern Colorado @ Idaho State 67–74 regular
2020-12-06 2021 Northern Colorado @ Idaho State postponed regular
2020-12-05 2021 Abilene Christian @ Northern Colorado 81–61 regular
2020-12-04 2021 Northern Colorado @ Idaho State postponed regular
2020-12-02 2021 Denver @ Northern Colorado 74–75 regular
2020-11-29 2021 Omaha @ Northern Colorado 66–64 regular
2020-11-26 2021 Northern Colorado @ Kansas 62–78 regular