cbb·system

Northern Colorado Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.90 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.02 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.80 possessions per game 4.53

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northern Colorado AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.55 to 1.17 over 124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221516 0.484

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthern Colorado auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-10 2022 Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona N 67–72 conf_tournament
2022-03-08 2022 Northern Colorado @ Idaho State N 72–54 conf_tournament
2022-03-07 2022 Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado N 45–64 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Montana State @ Northern Colorado 63–71 regular
2022-03-03 2022 Montana @ Northern Colorado 64–72 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Northern Colorado @ Idaho 79–88 regular
2022-02-25 2022 Northern Colorado @ Eastern Washington 56–62 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Weber State @ Northern Colorado 55–60 regular
2022-02-17 2022 Idaho State @ Northern Colorado 52–53 regular
2022-02-15 2022 Northern Colorado @ Southern Utah 53–77 regular
2022-02-11 2022 Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado 65–55 regular
2022-02-08 2022 Portland State @ Northern Colorado 45–93 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado 77–71 regular
2022-02-04 2022 Northern Colorado @ Portland State 59–51 regular
2022-02-01 2022 Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona 61–49 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Northern Colorado @ Idaho State 56–68 regular
2022-01-27 2022 Northern Colorado @ Weber State 65–55 regular
2022-01-25 2022 Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State 62–69 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado 54–62 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Idaho @ Northern Colorado 64–59 regular
2022-01-19 2022 Southern Utah @ Northern Colorado 67–63 regular
2022-01-11 2022 Portland State @ Northern Colorado postponed regular
2022-01-09 2022 Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State postponed regular
2022-01-05 2022 Southern Utah @ Northern Colorado postponed regular
2022-01-02 2022 Northern New Mexico @ Northern Colorado canceled non_d1
2022-01-01 2022 Southern Utah @ Northern Colorado postponed regular
2021-12-29 2022 Kansas Wesleyan @ Northern Colorado 54–82 non_d1
2021-12-19 2022 Northern Colorado @ Abilene Christian 70–58 regular
2021-12-14 2022 Oklahoma Panhandle @ Northern Colorado canceled non_d1
2021-12-11 2022 Northern Colorado @ Omaha 41–48 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Northern Colorado @ Montana 44–57 regular
2021-12-03 2022 Northern Colorado @ Montana State 57–63 regular
2021-11-26 2022 Samford @ Northern Colorado 49–64 regular
2021-11-21 2022 Northern Colorado @ San Francisco 59–70 regular
2021-11-17 2022 UT Rio Grande Valley @ Northern Colorado 58–60 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Northern Colorado @ Colorado State 50–61 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Northern Colorado @ Arizona State 41–71 regular