cbb·system

Northern Colorado Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.90 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.06 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.08 possessions per game 4.79

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northern Colorado AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.61 to 1.28 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231318 0.419

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthern Colorado auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-05 2023 Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona N 48–64 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Weber State @ Northern Colorado N 52–63 conf_tournament
2023-02-28 2023 Northern Colorado @ Idaho State 53–46 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona 48–66 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado 57–53 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Idaho @ Northern Colorado 73–70 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State 48–79 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Northern Colorado @ Portland State 52–56 regular
2023-02-07 2023 Northern Colorado @ Weber State 73–60 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Montana State @ Northern Colorado 80–60 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Montana @ Northern Colorado 78–61 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado 62–59 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Northern Colorado @ Idaho 63–58 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Northern Colorado @ Eastern Washington 36–49 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Portland State @ Northern Colorado 56–75 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado 73–41 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Northern Colorado @ Montana 60–82 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Northern Colorado @ Montana State 40–61 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Idaho State @ Northern Colorado 63–42 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Weber State @ Northern Colorado 39–67 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Northern Colorado @ Samford 66–69 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Northern Colorado @ Kansas State 57–69 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Omaha @ Northern Colorado 45–67 regular
2022-12-03 2023 South Dakota @ Northern Colorado 65–72 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Colorado State @ Northern Colorado 91–102 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Adams State @ Northern Colorado 61–67 non_d1
2022-11-23 2023 Northern Colorado @ North Dakota State 54–68 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Northern Colorado @ Incarnate Word 63–54 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Northern Colorado @ UT Rio Grande Valley 55–61 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Northern Colorado @ Denver 77–68 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Northern New Mexico @ Northern Colorado 50–91 non_d1