cbb·system

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.83 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.14 points per possession 0.18
PACE 69.59 possessions per game 4.79

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Southern Utah AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.54 to 1.12 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
2018327 0.100

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSouthern Utah auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-05 2018 Southern Utah @ Idaho State N 49–59 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Idaho @ Southern Utah 65–57 regular
2018-03-01 2018 Eastern Washington @ Southern Utah 70–49 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Southern Utah @ Sacramento State 77–79 regular
2018-02-23 2018 Southern Utah @ Portland State 66–70 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Northern Colorado @ Southern Utah 60–54 regular
2018-02-16 2018 North Dakota @ Southern Utah 68–53 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah 72–55 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Southern Utah @ Idaho State 39–66 regular
2018-02-01 2018 Southern Utah @ Weber State 50–65 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Montana State @ Southern Utah 63–57 regular
2018-01-26 2018 Montana @ Southern Utah 74–65 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Southern Utah @ Eastern Washington 41–58 regular
2018-01-19 2018 Southern Utah @ Idaho 51–74 regular
2018-01-14 2018 Southern Utah @ Northern Arizona 60–57 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Weber State @ Southern Utah 77–64 regular
2018-01-05 2018 Idaho State @ Southern Utah 70–76 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Southern Utah @ Montana 71–81 regular
2017-12-29 2018 Southern Utah @ Montana State 71–91 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Southern Utah @ Arizona 74–76 regular
2017-12-18 2018 Southern Utah @ Grand Canyon 54–59 regular
2017-12-09 2018 Southern Utah @ Oregon 38–98 regular
2017-12-05 2018 UC Irvine @ Southern Utah 71–64 regular
2017-12-01 2018 Southern Utah @ Utah Valley 61–69 regular
2017-11-28 2018 Cal State Bakersfield @ Southern Utah 46–45 regular
2017-11-24 2018 UC Davis @ Southern Utah 85–59 regular
2017-11-22 2018 Utah State @ Southern Utah 67–70 regular
2017-11-19 2018 Binghamton @ Southern Utah 72–66 regular
2017-11-15 2018 Southern Utah @ San Diego 59–72 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Southern Utah @ BYU 67–75 regular