cbb·system

Utah State Aggies

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.85 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.12 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.54 possessions per game 4.68

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Utah State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.69 to 1.27 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020823 0.258

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUtah State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-03 2020 Utah State @ Wyoming N 59–64 conf_tournament
2020-03-02 2020 Utah State @ San Diego State N 81–79 conf_tournament
2020-02-28 2020 New Mexico @ Utah State 54–52 regular
2020-02-25 2020 Utah State @ San José State 38–76 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Utah State @ Wyoming 45–64 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Fresno State @ Utah State 79–61 regular
2020-02-12 2020 Colorado State @ Utah State 67–61 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Utah State @ Boise State 58–56 regular
2020-02-05 2020 Utah State @ UNLV 45–69 regular
2020-02-01 2020 San Diego State @ Utah State 59–51 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Wyoming @ Utah State 65–54 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Utah State @ Colorado State 55–56 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Utah State @ Air Force 53–52 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Boise State @ Utah State 65–59 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Utah State @ Nevada 60–69 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Air Force @ Utah State 62–45 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Utah State @ San Diego State 62–66 regular
2020-01-02 2020 UNLV @ Utah State 60–46 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Utah State @ Utah Valley 49–57 regular
2019-12-20 2020 Idaho State @ Utah State 61–69 regular
2019-12-17 2020 North Texas @ Utah State 55–66 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Utah State @ Oregon State 46–75 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Utah State @ Fresno State 64–76 regular
2019-12-05 2020 San José State @ Utah State 76–61 regular
2019-12-03 2020 Utah Tech @ Utah State 49–61 regular
2019-11-26 2020 Utah State @ BYU 50–67 regular
2019-11-21 2020 Utah State @ Cal State Fullerton 62–83 regular
2019-11-19 2020 Utah State @ Long Beach State 56–48 regular
2019-11-14 2020 Utah State @ Oregon 52–109 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Seattle U @ Utah State 63–70 regular
2019-11-07 2020 Portland @ Utah State 70–64 regular