cbb·system

Utah State Aggies

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.82 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.26 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.98 possessions per game 4.44

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Utah State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.52 to 1.11 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023426 0.133

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUtah State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-06 2023 Utah State @ Boise State N 58–66 conf_tournament
2023-03-01 2023 San José State @ Utah State 78–65 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Utah State @ New Mexico 55–111 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Utah State @ UNLV 32–86 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Utah State @ Boise State 41–89 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Fresno State @ Utah State 76–61 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Utah State @ Wyoming 48–70 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Nevada @ Utah State 68–63 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Utah State @ Colorado State 64–86 regular
2023-01-28 2023 New Mexico @ Utah State 98–60 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Wyoming @ Utah State 64–52 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Utah State @ San José State 59–77 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Air Force @ Utah State 66–59 regular
2023-01-17 2023 Utah State @ Fresno State 68–58 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Utah State @ Nevada 58–78 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Boise State @ Utah State 73–56 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Colorado State @ Utah State 99–62 regular
2023-01-01 2023 San Diego State @ Utah State 89–55 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Utah State @ Air Force 63–77 regular
2022-12-20 2023 Utah State @ Eastern Washington 54–84 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Utah State @ Loyola Marymount 63–71 regular
2022-12-06 2023 BYU @ Utah State 64–54 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Utah Valley @ Utah State 55–65 regular
2022-12-02 2023 Utah State @ Weber State 74–69 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Utah State @ USC 48–79 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Ball State @ Utah State 80–55 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Utah State @ Arkansas State 57–63 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Utah State @ Utah Tech 57–95 regular
2022-11-11 2023 SE Louisiana @ Utah State 78–68 regular
2022-11-07 2023 College of Idaho @ Utah State 58–75 non_d1