cbb·system

Utah State Aggies

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.07 points per possession 0.17
PACE 74.70 possessions per game 4.29

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Utah State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 62.90 to 84.98 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
2015823 0.258

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUtah State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-09 2015 Utah State @ San José State N 85–99 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Utah State @ Colorado State 58–76 regular
2015-03-04 2015 Wyoming @ Utah State 61–57 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Air Force @ Utah State 50–84 regular
2015-02-26 2015 Utah State @ UNLV 61–69 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Utah State @ Fresno State 55–64 regular
2015-02-19 2015 San José State @ Utah State 80–85 regular
2015-02-12 2015 Utah State @ Nevada 44–49 regular
2015-02-07 2015 New Mexico @ Utah State 56–51 regular
2015-02-05 2015 Utah State @ Boise State 55–94 regular
2015-01-31 2015 San Diego State @ Utah State 70–59 regular
2015-01-29 2015 Utah State @ Wyoming 51–86 regular
2015-01-24 2015 UNLV @ Utah State 72–85 regular
2015-01-22 2015 Nevada @ Utah State 57–68 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Utah State @ Air Force 69–53 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Utah State @ New Mexico 59–60 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Fresno State @ Utah State 70–64 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Boise State @ Utah State 63–53 regular
2015-01-01 2015 Utah State @ San José State 58–62 regular
2014-12-23 2015 BYU @ Utah State 62–58 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Utah State @ Sacramento State 92–102 regular
2014-12-17 2015 Utah State @ Pacific 62–70 regular
2014-12-15 2015 Northern Colorado @ Utah State 61–65 regular
2014-12-06 2015 Westminster (UT) @ Utah State 51–60 non_d1
2014-12-04 2015 Utah State @ Utah 57–63 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Utah State @ Stetson N 64–84 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Marist @ Utah State N 68–65 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Utah State @ Baylor 43–99 regular
2014-11-21 2015 Utah Valley @ Utah State 61–79 regular
2014-11-16 2015 Utah State @ Oregon State 62–85 regular
2014-11-14 2015 Utah State @ Oregon 77–100 regular