cbb·system

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.01 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.82 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.19 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.08 possessions per game 4.81

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Wake Forest AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.54 to 1.11 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231717 0.500

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbWake Forest auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-20 2023 Florida @ Wake Forest 80–63 other_postseason
2023-03-16 2023 Morgan State @ Wake Forest 49–75 other_postseason
2023-03-03 2023 Wake Forest @ Louisville N 48–74 conf_tournament
2023-03-02 2023 Wake Forest @ Florida State N 65–54 conf_tournament
2023-03-01 2023 Virginia @ Wake Forest N 57–68 conf_tournament
2023-02-26 2023 Boston College @ Wake Forest 73–63 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Florida State @ Wake Forest 61–60 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Wake Forest @ North Carolina 58–71 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Wake Forest @ Georgia Tech 55–63 regular
2023-02-10 2023 NC State @ Wake Forest 51–42 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Clemson @ Wake Forest 64–69 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Wake Forest @ Florida State 44–72 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Miami @ Wake Forest 52–55 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Louisville @ Wake Forest 57–68 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech 57–74 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Wake Forest @ Miami 43–55 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Wake Forest @ Notre Dame 47–86 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Georgia Tech @ Wake Forest 50–51 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Duke @ Wake Forest 60–50 regular
2023-01-01 2023 Wake Forest @ Clemson 59–60 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest 51–66 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Rhode Island @ Wake Forest 45–59 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Wake Forest @ Syracuse 58–67 regular
2022-12-15 2023 Longwood @ Wake Forest 43–83 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Wake Forest @ Charlotte 63–54 regular
2022-12-03 2023 High Point @ Wake Forest 51–68 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Wake Forest @ Minnesota 63–59 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Coastal Carolina @ Wake Forest 61–76 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Wake Forest @ Alabama N 58–61 regular
2022-11-21 2023 Missouri @ Wake Forest N 69–47 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Mercer @ Wake Forest 45–70 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Wake Forest @ Virginia 52–72 regular
2022-11-10 2023 Wake Forest @ East Carolina 57–46 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Elon @ Wake Forest 56–76 regular