cbb·system

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.04 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.16 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.92 possessions per game 4.91

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Wake Forest AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans -0.28 to 0.53 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181417 0.452

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbWake Forest auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-02 2018 Wake Forest @ Miami N 60–68 conf_tournament
2018-02-28 2018 Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest N 38–72 conf_tournament
2018-02-25 2018 Virginia @ Wake Forest 48–41 regular
2018-02-23 2018 Wake Forest @ Clemson 61–55 regular
2018-02-18 2018 Wake Forest @ NC State 61–74 regular
2018-02-16 2018 Virginia Tech @ Wake Forest 56–73 regular
2018-02-11 2018 Syracuse @ Wake Forest 71–61 regular
2018-02-08 2018 Wake Forest @ Duke 51–59 regular
2018-02-02 2018 Wake Forest @ Boston College 67–59 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Wake Forest @ Louisville 52–89 regular
2018-01-26 2018 NC State @ Wake Forest 82–68 regular
2018-01-21 2018 Wake Forest @ Georgia Tech 67–79 regular
2018-01-19 2018 Florida State @ Wake Forest 81–79 regular
2018-01-14 2018 North Carolina @ Wake Forest 79–76 regular
2018-01-12 2018 Duke @ Wake Forest 80–67 regular
2018-01-07 2018 Wake Forest @ Miami 61–50 regular
2018-01-05 2018 Wake Forest @ Pittsburgh 58–49 regular
2017-12-31 2018 Notre Dame @ Wake Forest 96–73 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Wake Forest @ Charleston 77–40 regular
2017-12-18 2018 Charlotte @ Wake Forest 69–71 regular
2017-12-09 2018 Maryland Eastern Shore @ Wake Forest 50–92 regular
2017-12-08 2018 App State @ Wake Forest 49–78 regular
2017-12-05 2018 Wake Forest @ Xavier 62–57 regular
2017-12-02 2018 Elon @ Wake Forest 51–53 regular
2017-12-01 2018 Wake Forest @ Penn State 58–68 regular
2017-11-26 2018 Wake Forest @ Hofstra N 66–69 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Wake Forest @ Minnesota N 81–93 regular
2017-11-19 2018 Wake Forest @ Rutgers 51–65 regular
2017-11-16 2018 Wake Forest @ Richmond 85–81 regular
2017-11-12 2018 Seton Hall @ Wake Forest 67–57 regular
2017-11-10 2018 Texas Southern @ Wake Forest 56–73 regular