cbb·system

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.01 points per possession 0.17
PACE 72.72 possessions per game 4.38

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Wake Forest AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.65 to 1.21 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151320 0.394

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbWake Forest auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-06 2015 Wake Forest @ Duke N 68–77 conf_tournament
2015-03-05 2015 Wake Forest @ Syracuse N 85–79 conf_tournament
2015-03-04 2015 Wake Forest @ Boston College N 69–53 conf_tournament
2015-02-28 2015 Georgia Tech @ Wake Forest 67–60 regular
2015-02-27 2015 Miami @ Wake Forest 59–60 regular
2015-02-20 2015 Wake Forest @ North Carolina 45–83 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest 65–41 regular
2015-02-13 2015 Boston College @ Wake Forest 75–74 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Wake Forest @ NC State 55–71 regular
2015-02-06 2015 Duke @ Wake Forest 70–53 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Wake Forest @ Notre Dame 63–92 regular
2015-01-30 2015 Clemson @ Wake Forest 62–64 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Wake Forest @ Florida State 80–110 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech 59–76 regular
2015-01-18 2015 NC State @ Wake Forest 78–70 regular
2015-01-16 2015 Wake Forest @ Syracuse 62–73 regular
2015-01-11 2015 Louisville @ Wake Forest 79–68 regular
2015-01-09 2015 Wake Forest @ Virginia 70–72 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Wake Forest @ Duke 63–70 regular
2014-12-31 2015 Western Carolina @ Wake Forest 59–77 regular
2014-12-28 2015 American University @ Wake Forest 64–77 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Missouri @ Wake Forest 79–64 regular
2014-12-18 2015 Towson @ Wake Forest 64–74 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Wake Forest @ Richmond 72–79 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Arizona @ Wake Forest 72–69 regular
2014-12-04 2015 Wake Forest @ Michigan 69–83 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Montana @ Wake Forest N 60–73 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Wake Forest @ Charlotte N 65–58 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Princeton @ Wake Forest N 72–55 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Coppin State @ Wake Forest 54–65 regular
2014-11-21 2015 Marquette @ Wake Forest 77–89 regular
2014-11-19 2015 Tennessee Tech @ Wake Forest 62–89 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Longwood @ Wake Forest 60–64 regular