cbb·system

St. John's Red Storm

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2014

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.06 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.86 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.20 points per possession 0.17
PACE 66.81 possessions per game 4.94

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

St. John's AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 55.74 to 134.59 over 113 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20142311 0.676

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSt. John's auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-25 2014 St. John's @ Tennessee N 51–67 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-22 2014 USC @ St. John's N 68–71 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-12 2014 St. John's @ DePaul N 57–65 conf_tournament
2014-03-10 2014 Creighton @ St. John's N 63–68 conf_tournament
2014-03-09 2014 Seton Hall @ St. John's N 60–66 conf_tournament
2014-03-04 2014 St. John's @ Providence 63–42 regular
2014-03-01 2014 DePaul @ St. John's 80–65 regular
2014-02-27 2014 Marquette @ St. John's 74–61 regular
2014-02-23 2014 St. John's @ Creighton 62–65 regular
2014-02-19 2014 St. John's @ Georgetown 57–60 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Villanova @ St. John's 56–69 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Providence @ St. John's 65–85 regular
2014-02-06 2014 St. John's @ Butler 58–55 regular
2014-02-01 2014 St. John's @ Seton Hall 69–48 regular
2014-01-30 2014 Xavier @ St. John's 48–80 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Georgetown @ St. John's 63–66 regular
2014-01-23 2014 St. John's @ Villanova 59–52 regular
2014-01-18 2014 St. John's @ Marquette 49–47 regular
2014-01-15 2014 Butler @ St. John's 55–58 regular
2014-01-11 2014 St. John's @ DePaul 96–86 regular
2014-01-09 2014 Creighton @ St. John's 48–67 regular
2014-01-05 2014 St. John's @ Xavier 65–70 regular
2013-12-30 2014 St. John's @ Delaware 61–58 regular
2013-12-28 2014 Seton Hall @ St. John's 63–72 regular
2013-12-22 2014 Texas A&M @ St. John's N 70–72 regular
2013-12-15 2014 James Madison @ St. John's 64–51 regular
2013-12-14 2014 Drexel @ St. John's 62–55 regular
2013-12-07 2014 St. John's @ Auburn 55–69 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Harvard @ St. John's 76–81 regular
2013-11-27 2014 St. John's @ Florida 68–72 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Quinnipiac @ St. John's 66–76 regular
2013-11-16 2014 St. Francis Brooklyn @ St. John's 56–66 regular
2013-11-13 2014 Iona @ St. John's 48–78 regular
2013-11-09 2014 St. John's @ Sacred Heart 77–72 regular