Merrimack Warriors
mens
NEC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.92 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| DE | 1.04 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| ME | -0.12 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 65.92 | possessions per game | 4.65 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 00:47),
with 25 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 55.60 to 85.80 over
81 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 9 | 9 | 0.500 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Merrimack | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-03 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Wagner | 59–64 | regular |
| 2021-03-03 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Wagner | 67–74 | regular |
| 2021-02-26 | 2021 | St. Francis Brooklyn @ Merrimack | 67–75 | regular |
| 2021-02-25 | 2021 | St. Francis Brooklyn @ Merrimack | 84–71 | regular |
| 2021-02-21 | 2021 | Bryant @ Merrimack | 76–60 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Bryant | 58–60 | regular |
| 2021-02-17 | 2021 | Bryant @ Merrimack | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Central Connecticut | 72–52 | regular |
| 2021-02-12 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Central Connecticut | 62–46 | regular |
| 2021-02-05 | 2021 | St. Francis (PA) @ Merrimack | 54–59 | regular |
| 2021-02-04 | 2021 | St. Francis (PA) @ Merrimack | 62–68 | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Wagner | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Wagner | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-28 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Long Island University | 68–78 | regular |
| 2021-01-27 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Long Island University | 68–63 | regular |
| 2021-01-27 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Long Island University | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-22 | 2021 | Fairleigh Dickinson @ Merrimack | 71–76 | regular |
| 2021-01-22 | 2021 | Fairleigh Dickinson @ Merrimack | 51–62 | regular |
| 2021-01-15 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Mount St. Mary's | 52–63 | regular |
| 2021-01-15 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Mount St. Mary's | 57–77 | regular |
| 2021-01-08 | 2021 | Sacred Heart @ Merrimack | 68–62 | regular |
| 2021-01-08 | 2021 | Sacred Heart @ Merrimack | 90–97 | regular |
| 2020-12-11 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Long Island University | scheduled | regular |
| 2020-12-11 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Long Island University | scheduled | regular |
| 2020-12-03 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Iona | canceled | regular |