cbb·system

Cal Poly Mustangs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.86 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.11 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.61 possessions per game 4.82

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Cal Poly AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.69 to 1.25 over 60 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231018 0.357

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCal Poly auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-07 2023 UC Riverside @ Cal Poly N 63–54 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 Cal Poly @ UC Riverside 63–50 regular
2023-03-03 2023 UC San Diego @ Cal Poly 60–43 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Cal Poly @ UC Davis 56–70 regular
2023-02-21 2023 Cal Poly @ UC Irvine canceled regular
2023-02-18 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly 48–54 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield 51–42 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Cal State Northridge @ Cal Poly 50–61 regular
2023-02-10 2023 UC Irvine @ Cal Poly 68–55 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Cal Poly @ Hawai'i 58–80 regular
2023-02-03 2023 UC Santa Barbara @ Cal Poly 64–69 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton 61–69 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Cal Poly @ Long Beach State 54–57 regular
2023-01-22 2023 UC Davis @ Cal Poly 74–52 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Cal Poly @ UC San Diego 58–70 regular
2023-01-17 2023 UC Riverside @ Cal Poly 47–49 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Long Beach State @ Cal Poly 65–42 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara 59–65 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal Poly 37–50 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Hawai'i @ Cal Poly 50–47 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Cal Poly @ Cal State Northridge 55–65 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Cal Poly @ Montana State canceled regular
2022-12-19 2023 Cal Poly @ Seattle U canceled regular
2022-12-10 2023 Northern Arizona @ Cal Poly 79–76 regular
2022-11-26 2023 San José State @ Cal Poly 53–62 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Sacramento State @ Cal Poly 70–62 regular
2022-11-23 2023 South Carolina @ Cal Poly 79–36 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Cal Poly @ Fresno State 48–47 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Cal Poly @ Stanford 43–80 regular
2022-11-10 2023 Simpson (CA) @ Cal Poly 49–81 non_d1
2022-11-08 2023 Cal Poly @ UCLA 48–84 regular