cbb·system

Cal Poly Mustangs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.03 points per possession 0.11
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.11
ME 0.00 points per possession 0.16
PACE 72.69 possessions per game 4.69

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Cal Poly AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.65 to 1.28 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141814 0.562

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCal Poly auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-21 2014 Cal Poly @ San Diego 59–82 other_postseason
2014-03-15 2014 Cal Poly @ Cal State Northridge N 58–73 conf_tournament
2014-03-14 2014 Hawai'i @ Cal Poly N 52–66 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara 79–68 regular
2014-03-01 2014 UC Irvine @ Cal Poly 87–92 regular
2014-02-28 2014 UC Davis @ Cal Poly 77–69 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Cal Poly @ UC Riverside 83–72 regular
2014-02-21 2014 Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton 77–78 regular
2014-02-16 2014 Long Beach State @ Cal Poly 85–72 regular
2014-02-14 2014 Cal State Northridge @ Cal Poly 83–57 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Hawai'i @ Cal Poly 60–62 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Cal Poly @ UC Irvine 84–79 regular
2014-01-31 2014 Cal Poly @ UC Davis 81–72 regular
2014-01-26 2014 UC Riverside @ Cal Poly 72–89 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly 65–69 regular
2014-01-19 2014 Cal Poly @ Long Beach State 107–102 regular
2014-01-17 2014 Cal Poly @ Cal State Northridge 76–81 regular
2014-01-12 2014 UC Santa Barbara @ Cal Poly 70–88 regular
2014-01-09 2014 Cal Poly @ Hawai'i 78–74 regular
2013-12-28 2014 Cal Poly @ UCLA 89–96 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Cal Poly @ Oregon 87–124 regular
2013-12-19 2014 Cal Poly @ Portland 76–83 regular
2013-12-17 2014 Cal Poly @ Pepperdine 80–77 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal Poly 54–63 regular
2013-12-01 2014 San Francisco @ Cal Poly 65–76 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Akron @ Cal Poly 74–84 regular
2013-11-23 2014 Cal Poly @ Saint Mary's 69–77 regular
2013-11-22 2014 Nevada @ Cal Poly 57–82 regular
2013-11-19 2014 New Mexico State @ Cal Poly 64–72 regular
2013-11-16 2014 Cal Poly @ Stanford 51–86 regular
2013-11-10 2014 Cal Poly @ Harvard N 76–83 regular
2013-11-08 2014 Cal Poly @ Duquesne 69–84 regular