cbb·system

Cal Poly Mustangs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.26 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.56 possessions per game 4.60

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-05 19:30), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Cal Poly AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 58.71 to 130.18 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
2026426 0.133

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCal Poly auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-07 2026 Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield 66–54 regular
2026-03-06 2026 UC Irvine @ Cal Poly 85–65 regular
2026-02-28 2026 UC San Diego @ Cal Poly 85–61 regular
2026-02-27 2026 Cal Poly @ Long Beach State 57–67 regular
2026-02-20 2026 Hawai'i @ Cal Poly 71–54 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara 54–63 regular
2026-02-13 2026 Cal Poly @ UC Irvine 39–84 regular
2026-02-07 2026 UC Davis @ Cal Poly 59–55 regular
2026-02-06 2026 Cal Poly @ Cal State Northridge 50–65 regular
2026-01-31 2026 UC Riverside @ Cal Poly 70–66 regular
2026-01-30 2026 Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal Poly 62–58 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton 41–73 regular
2026-01-23 2026 UC Santa Barbara @ Cal Poly 61–51 regular
2026-01-16 2026 Cal Poly @ Hawai'i 46–86 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Cal Poly @ UC Davis 61–87 regular
2026-01-09 2026 Cal State Northridge @ Cal Poly 77–68 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Long Beach State @ Cal Poly 49–63 regular
2026-01-01 2026 Cal Poly @ UC San Diego 54–75 regular
2025-12-28 2026 Cal Poly @ California 50–91 regular
2025-12-19 2026 Cal Poly @ USC 39–86 regular
2025-12-17 2026 Cal Poly @ UCLA 28–115 regular
2025-12-13 2026 Idaho State @ Cal Poly 62–49 regular
2025-12-07 2026 Cal Poly @ UC Riverside 46–63 regular
2025-12-05 2026 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly 96–64 regular
2025-11-25 2026 Chapman @ Cal Poly 31–59 non_d1
2025-11-22 2026 Southern Utah @ Cal Poly 85–80 regular
2025-11-18 2026 Cal Poly @ Eastern Washington 67–78 regular
2025-11-15 2026 Cal Poly @ Seattle U 73–75 regular
2025-11-09 2026 Cal Poly @ Stanford 55–90 regular
2025-11-04 2026 UC Santa Cruz @ Cal Poly 27–87 non_d1