Cal Poly Mustangs
mens
Big West
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.90 | points per possession | 0.50 |
| DE | 0.63 | points per possession | 0.52 |
| ME | 0.27 | points per possession | 0.72 |
| PACE | 66.06 | possessions per game | 4.82 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-06 01:20),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans -1.95 to 1.75 over
111 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4 | 20 | 0.167 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Cal Poly | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-12 | 2021 | Cal Poly @ UC Irvine N | 51–58 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-10 | 2021 | Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton N | 87–82 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-07 | 2021 | Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara | 54–70 | regular |
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara | 57–71 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | UC Davis @ Cal Poly | 68–66 | regular |
| 2021-02-26 | 2021 | UC Davis @ Cal Poly | 69–61 | regular |
| 2021-02-21 | 2021 | Cal Poly @ Long Beach State | 69–74 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Cal Poly @ Long Beach State | 60–64 | regular |
| 2021-02-14 | 2021 | Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-07 | 2021 | Cal Poly @ Hawai'i | 64–81 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Cal Poly @ Hawai'i | 68–84 | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | Cal State Northridge @ Cal Poly | 64–51 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | Cal State Northridge @ Cal Poly | 70–76 | regular |
| 2021-01-24 | 2021 | Cal Poly @ UC Irvine | 44–67 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Cal Poly @ UC Irvine | 49–68 | regular |
| 2021-01-17 | 2021 | UC Riverside @ Cal Poly | 70–53 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | UC Riverside @ Cal Poly | 86–51 | regular |
| 2021-01-10 | 2021 | Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield | 50–65 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield | 49–62 | regular |
| 2021-01-03 | 2021 | UC San Diego @ Cal Poly | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-01 | 2021 | UC San Diego @ Cal Poly | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-29 | 2021 | Cal Poly @ Hawai'i | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-28 | 2021 | Cal Poly @ Hawai'i | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-20 | 2021 | Cal Poly @ Loyola Marymount | 52–76 | regular |
| 2020-12-16 | 2021 | San Diego @ Cal Poly | 70–61 | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | San José State @ Cal Poly | 71–73 | regular |
| 2020-12-12 | 2021 | Cal Poly @ Fresno State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-10 | 2021 | Santa Clara @ Cal Poly | 76–69 | regular |
| 2020-12-08 | 2021 | New Mexico State @ Cal Poly | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | San Francisco @ Cal Poly | 88–60 | regular |
| 2020-11-28 | 2021 | Bethesda University @ Cal Poly | 46–100 | non_d1 |