Cal Poly Mustangs
mens
Big West
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.12 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.16 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.04 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 73.43 | possessions per game | 4.18 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-07 00:50),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 0.75 to 1.39 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 14 | 19 | 0.424 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Cal Poly | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ UC San Diego N | 69–72 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-08 | 2026 | Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal Poly | 76–108 | regular |
| 2026-03-06 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ UC Irvine | 85–107 | regular |
| 2026-03-01 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ UC San Diego | 64–80 | regular |
| 2026-02-27 | 2026 | Long Beach State @ Cal Poly | 92–102 | regular |
| 2026-02-20 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ Hawai'i | 86–75 | regular |
| 2026-02-15 | 2026 | UC Santa Barbara @ Cal Poly | 79–89 | regular |
| 2026-02-13 | 2026 | UC Irvine @ Cal Poly | 73–79 | regular |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ UC Davis | 58–67 | regular |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026 | Cal State Northridge @ Cal Poly | 97–96 | regular |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ UC Riverside | 94–87 | regular |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield | 104–79 | regular |
| 2026-01-25 | 2026 | Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly | 93–78 | regular |
| 2026-01-23 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara | 67–107 | regular |
| 2026-01-16 | 2026 | Hawai'i @ Cal Poly | 86–66 | regular |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026 | UC Davis @ Cal Poly | 78–84 | regular |
| 2026-01-09 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ Cal State Northridge | 90–95 | regular |
| 2026-01-04 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ Long Beach State | 66–74 | regular |
| 2026-01-02 | 2026 | UC San Diego @ Cal Poly | 65–67 | regular |
| 2025-12-22 | 2026 | Idaho @ Cal Poly | 83–80 | regular |
| 2025-12-20 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ UCLA | 87–108 | regular |
| 2025-12-17 | 2026 | Montana State @ Cal Poly | 83–80 | regular |
| 2025-12-07 | 2026 | UC Riverside @ Cal Poly | 88–84 | regular |
| 2025-12-05 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton | 94–91 | regular |
| 2025-11-30 | 2026 | Redlands @ Cal Poly | 81–87 | non_d1 |
| 2025-11-26 | 2026 | Southeast Missouri State @ Cal Poly N | 84–68 | regular |
| 2025-11-25 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ Northern Arizona | 87–93 | regular |
| 2025-11-21 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ Utah | 92–85 | regular |
| 2025-11-15 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ Montana | 82–90 | regular |
| 2025-11-13 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ Colorado State | 79–93 | regular |
| 2025-11-09 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ Seattle U | 73–71 | regular |
| 2025-11-06 | 2026 | Pacific Lutheran @ Cal Poly | 79–101 | non_d1 |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | Cal Poly @ USC | 64–94 | regular |