cbb·system

California Golden Bears

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.97 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.09 points per possession 0.19
PACE 63.23 possessions per game 4.53

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

California AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.73 to 1.34 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023329 0.094

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdCalifornia auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-08 2023 California @ Washington State N 52–69 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 California @ Oregon State 66–69 regular
2023-03-03 2023 California @ Oregon 51–84 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Washington State @ California 63–57 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Washington @ California 65–56 regular
2023-02-19 2023 California @ UCLA 43–78 regular
2023-02-17 2023 California @ USC 60–97 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Arizona State @ California 70–62 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Arizona @ California 85–62 regular
2023-02-05 2023 California @ Utah 46–61 regular
2023-02-03 2023 California @ Colorado 46–59 regular
2023-01-29 2023 California @ Stanford 46–75 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Oregon State @ California 68–48 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Oregon @ California 87–58 regular
2023-01-14 2023 California @ Washington 78–81 regular
2023-01-12 2023 California @ Washington State 51–66 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Stanford @ California 70–92 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Colorado @ California 76–80 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Utah @ California 58–43 regular
2022-12-22 2023 UT Arlington @ California 51–73 regular
2022-12-18 2023 California @ Santa Clara 62–71 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Butler @ California 82–58 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Eastern Washington @ California 50–48 regular
2022-12-04 2023 California @ Arizona 68–81 regular
2022-12-01 2023 USC @ California 66–51 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Clemson @ California N 67–59 regular
2022-11-26 2023 California @ TCU N 48–59 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Texas State @ California 59–55 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Southern @ California 74–66 regular
2022-11-16 2023 California @ UC San Diego 62–64 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Kansas State @ California 63–54 regular
2022-11-08 2023 UC Davis @ California 75–65 regular