cbb·system

San Diego State Aztecs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.98 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.87 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.11 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.76 possessions per game 4.65

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

San Diego State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.48 to 1.14 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232311 0.676

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSan Diego State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-18 2023 UC Irvine @ San Diego State 55–45 other_postseason
2023-03-08 2023 San Diego State @ UNLV N 68–71 conf_tournament
2023-03-06 2023 San Diego State @ New Mexico N 69–68 conf_tournament
2023-03-01 2023 Air Force @ San Diego State 51–60 regular
2023-02-25 2023 San Diego State @ UNLV 59–65 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Wyoming @ San Diego State 70–58 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Colorado State @ San Diego State 49–53 regular
2023-02-11 2023 San Diego State @ San José State 80–55 regular
2023-02-10 2023 San Diego State @ Nevada 67–51 regular
2023-02-04 2023 San Diego State @ New Mexico 78–83 regular
2023-01-31 2023 San Diego State @ Boise State 57–62 regular
2023-01-28 2023 San José State @ San Diego State 39–59 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Fresno State @ San Diego State 56–75 regular
2023-01-22 2023 San Diego State @ Wyoming 73–66 regular
2023-01-19 2023 New Mexico @ San Diego State 61–65 regular
2023-01-17 2023 San Diego State @ Colorado State 58–71 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Boise State @ San Diego State 42–55 regular
2023-01-12 2023 San Diego State @ Fresno State 49–43 regular
2023-01-07 2023 UNLV @ San Diego State 76–70 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Nevada @ San Diego State 70–80 regular
2023-01-01 2023 San Diego State @ Utah State 89–55 regular
2022-12-30 2023 San Diego State @ Boise State postponed regular
2022-12-21 2023 San Diego State @ Georgia N 44–63 regular
2022-12-20 2023 San Diego State @ Miami (OH) N 66–57 regular
2022-12-10 2023 San Diego @ San Diego State 45–68 regular
2022-12-07 2023 Sacramento State @ San Diego State 59–70 regular
2022-12-04 2023 San Diego State @ San Francisco N 56–65 regular
2022-12-02 2023 San Diego State @ UC San Diego 72–60 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Seattle U @ San Diego State 36–70 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Grambling @ San Diego State 41–66 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Portland @ San Diego State 53–55 regular
2022-11-16 2023 SE Louisiana @ San Diego State 53–69 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Antelope Valley @ San Diego State 41–95 non_d1
2022-11-10 2023 San Diego Christian @ San Diego State 30–81 non_d1
2022-11-08 2023 San Diego State @ Stanford 48–86 regular