San Diego State Aztecs

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Ratings · 2020

Dimension	Value	Unit	σ
OE	0.93	points per possession	0.13
DE	0.98	points per possession	0.13
ME	-0.05	points per possession	0.19
PACE	67.03	possessions per game	4.61

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 55.47 to 155.62 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

Season	W	L	Pct
2020	14	17	0.452

Season

Pct

2020

0.452

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

Source	Name	Reviewed
espn_wbb	San Diego State	auto

Source

Name

Reviewed

espn_wbb

San Diego State

auto

Schedule & results

Date	S	Matchup	Score	Type
2020-03-02	2020	Utah State @ San Diego State N	81–79	conf_tournament
2020-02-28	2020	Nevada @ San Diego State	68–81	regular
2020-02-25	2020	San Diego State @ Colorado State	64–61	regular
2020-02-22	2020	San Diego State @ UNLV	67–72	regular
2020-02-15	2020	Boise State @ San Diego State	69–67	regular
2020-02-13	2020	San Diego State @ New Mexico	67–58	regular
2020-02-08	2020	Air Force @ San Diego State	51–49	regular
2020-02-01	2020	San Diego State @ Utah State	59–51	regular
2020-01-29	2020	New Mexico @ San Diego State	74–75	regular
2020-01-25	2020	UNLV @ San Diego State	39–48	regular
2020-01-23	2020	San Diego State @ Wyoming	67–81	regular
2020-01-18	2020	San Diego State @ Nevada	69–70	regular
2020-01-16	2020	Fresno State @ San Diego State	65–60	regular
2020-01-11	2020	San Diego State @ Boise State	72–86	regular
2020-01-09	2020	Wyoming @ San Diego State	60–67	regular
2020-01-04	2020	Utah State @ San Diego State	62–66	regular
2020-01-02	2020	San Diego State @ Fresno State	54–79	regular
2019-12-28	2020	Cal State Northridge @ San Diego State	74–69	regular
2019-12-21	2020	San Diego State @ Incarnate Word	57–48	regular
2019-12-20	2020	San Diego State @ California Baptist	80–68	regular
2019-12-12	2020	San Diego @ San Diego State	70–47	regular
2019-12-07	2020	San Diego State @ San José State	67–84	regular
2019-12-05	2020	Colorado State @ San Diego State	49–59	regular
2019-11-30	2020	Arkansas State @ San Diego State	71–62	regular
2019-11-27	2020	San Diego State @ UC Santa Barbara	52–64	regular
2019-11-22	2020	California @ San Diego State	74–48	regular
2019-11-17	2020	Cal State Fullerton @ San Diego State	45–55	regular
2019-11-14	2020	Alabama A&M @ San Diego State	61–53	regular
2019-11-13	2020	Westcliff @ San Diego State	56–77	non_d1
2019-11-09	2020	Towson @ San Diego State	72–80	regular
2019-11-06	2020	San Diego State @ Hawai'i	58–61	regular