Virginia Cavaliers
mens
ACC
canonical name from espn_mbb
#3 Round of 32 (out) 2026
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.27 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.95 | points per possession | 0.15 |
| ME | 0.32 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 65.44 | possessions per game | 4.65 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-07 00:50),
with 36 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 0.99 to 1.53 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 6 | 0.833 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Virginia | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | 2026 | Tennessee @ Virginia N | 79–72 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026 | Wright State @ Virginia N | 73–82 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-15 | 2026 | Virginia @ Duke N | 70–74 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-13 | 2026 | Miami @ Virginia N | 62–84 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-12 | 2026 | NC State @ Virginia N | 74–81 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-07 | 2026 | Virginia Tech @ Virginia | 72–76 | regular |
| 2026-03-04 | 2026 | Wake Forest @ Virginia | 70–75 | regular |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026 | Virginia @ Duke | 51–77 | regular |
| 2026-02-25 | 2026 | NC State @ Virginia | 61–90 | regular |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026 | Miami @ Virginia | 83–86 | regular |
| 2026-02-19 | 2026 | Virginia @ Georgia Tech | 94–68 | regular |
| 2026-02-15 | 2026 | Virginia @ Ohio State N | 70–66 | regular |
| 2026-02-11 | 2026 | Virginia @ Florida State | 61–58 | regular |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026 | Syracuse @ Virginia | 59–72 | regular |
| 2026-02-04 | 2026 | Pittsburgh @ Virginia | 47–67 | regular |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026 | Virginia @ Boston College | 73–66 | regular |
| 2026-01-28 | 2026 | Virginia @ Notre Dame | 100–97 | regular |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026 | North Carolina @ Virginia | 85–80 | regular |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026 | Virginia @ SMU | 72–68 | regular |
| 2026-01-14 | 2026 | Virginia @ Louisville | 79–70 | regular |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026 | Stanford @ Virginia | 55–70 | regular |
| 2026-01-08 | 2026 | California @ Virginia | 60–84 | regular |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026 | Virginia @ NC State | 76–61 | regular |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026 | Virginia @ Virginia Tech | 85–95 | regular |
| 2025-12-22 | 2026 | American University @ Virginia | 51–95 | regular |
| 2025-12-20 | 2026 | Maryland @ Virginia | 72–80 | regular |
| 2025-12-10 | 2026 | Maryland Eastern Shore @ Virginia | 60–84 | regular |
| 2025-12-06 | 2026 | Dayton @ Virginia N | 73–86 | regular |
| 2025-12-04 | 2026 | Virginia @ Texas | 88–69 | regular |
| 2025-11-28 | 2026 | Queens University @ Virginia | 69–94 | regular |
| 2025-11-23 | 2026 | Butler @ Virginia N | 80–73 | regular |
| 2025-11-21 | 2026 | Northwestern @ Virginia N | 78–83 | regular |
| 2025-11-15 | 2026 | Marshall @ Virginia | 78–104 | regular |
| 2025-11-12 | 2026 | Hampton @ Virginia | 53–91 | regular |
| 2025-11-08 | 2026 | North Carolina Central @ Virginia | 62–81 | regular |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | Rider @ Virginia | 53–87 | regular |