cbb·system

Virginia Cavaliers

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Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.09 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.13 points per possession 0.19
PACE 59.34 possessions per game 4.93

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Virginia AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 48.28 to 69.83 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20222114 0.600

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdVirginia auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-22 2022 St. Bonaventure @ Virginia 52–51 nit
2022-03-20 2022 Virginia @ North Texas 71–69 nit
2022-03-16 2022 Mississippi State @ Virginia 57–60 nit
2022-03-11 2022 Virginia @ North Carolina N 43–63 conf_tournament
2022-03-10 2022 Louisville @ Virginia N 50–51 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Virginia @ Louisville 71–61 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Florida State @ Virginia 64–63 regular
2022-02-24 2022 Duke @ Virginia 65–61 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Virginia @ Miami 74–71 regular
2022-02-15 2022 Virginia @ Virginia Tech 53–62 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Georgia Tech @ Virginia 53–63 regular
2022-02-08 2022 Virginia @ Duke 69–68 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Miami @ Virginia 58–71 regular
2022-02-01 2022 Boston College @ Virginia 55–67 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Virginia @ Notre Dame 65–69 regular
2022-01-25 2022 Louisville @ Virginia 52–64 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Virginia @ NC State 63–77 regular
2022-01-20 2022 Virginia @ Pittsburgh 66–61 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Wake Forest @ Virginia 63–55 regular
2022-01-13 2022 Virginia Tech @ Virginia 52–54 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Virginia @ North Carolina 58–74 regular
2022-01-05 2022 Virginia @ Clemson 75–65 regular
2022-01-01 2022 Virginia @ Syracuse 74–69 regular
2021-12-23 2022 Clemson @ Virginia 67–50 regular
2021-12-18 2022 Fairleigh Dickinson @ Virginia 49–82 regular
2021-12-07 2022 Virginia @ James Madison 49–52 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Pittsburgh @ Virginia 56–57 regular
2021-11-30 2022 Iowa @ Virginia 75–74 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Lehigh @ Virginia 43–61 regular
2021-11-24 2022 Virginia @ Providence N 58–40 regular
2021-11-23 2022 Virginia @ Georgia N 65–55 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Coppin State @ Virginia 52–68 regular
2021-11-17 2022 Virginia @ Houston 47–67 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Radford @ Virginia 52–73 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Navy @ Virginia 66–58 regular