cbb·system

Central Arkansas Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.81 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.13 points per possession 0.19
PACE 63.45 possessions per game 5.18

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 26 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Central Arkansas AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.28 to 1.74 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20191218 0.400

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCentral Arkansas auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-15 2019 Central Arkansas @ Abilene Christian N 54–82 conf_tournament
2019-03-14 2019 Central Arkansas @ Sam Houston N 76–71 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 Central Arkansas @ Northwestern State 74–78 regular
2019-03-07 2019 Sam Houston @ Central Arkansas 71–59 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Abilene Christian @ Central Arkansas 67–65 regular
2019-02-28 2019 Central Arkansas @ Stephen F. Austin 43–79 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Central Arkansas @ Nicholls 52–68 regular
2019-02-21 2019 McNeese @ Central Arkansas 45–76 regular
2019-02-14 2019 Central Arkansas @ Houston Christian 77–58 regular
2019-02-09 2019 SE Louisiana @ Central Arkansas 33–75 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Northwestern State @ Central Arkansas 52–74 regular
2019-01-31 2019 Stephen F. Austin @ Central Arkansas 59–53 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Central Arkansas @ Abilene Christian 70–77 regular
2019-01-24 2019 Central Arkansas @ LSU New Orleans 62–60 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Nicholls @ Central Arkansas 64–60 regular
2019-01-17 2019 Incarnate Word @ Central Arkansas 43–74 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Central Arkansas @ Lamar 37–57 regular
2019-01-10 2019 Central Arkansas @ Sam Houston 62–66 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Central Arkansas @ SE Louisiana 53–62 regular
2018-12-31 2019 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Central Arkansas 73–65 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Central Arkansas @ Kansas State 54–70 regular
2018-12-17 2019 Williams Baptist @ Central Arkansas 35–70 non_d1
2018-12-08 2019 Central Arkansas @ Texas A&M 27–84 regular
2018-12-06 2019 Central Arkansas @ Oklahoma 52–65 regular
2018-12-01 2019 Crowley's Ridge @ Central Arkansas 33–91 non_d1
2018-11-28 2019 Central Arkansas @ Alcorn State 57–46 regular
2018-11-17 2019 South Alabama @ Central Arkansas 58–50 regular
2018-11-14 2019 Central Arkansas @ Jackson State 56–65 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Hendrix @ Central Arkansas 40–72 non_d1
2018-11-07 2019 Central Baptist @ Central Arkansas 34–55 non_d1