cbb·system

Central Arkansas Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.83 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.99 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.16 points per possession 0.19
PACE 63.73 possessions per game 4.81

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 26 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Central Arkansas AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.66 to 1.29 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201316 0.448

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCentral Arkansas auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-07 2020 Northwestern State @ Central Arkansas 62–80 regular
2020-03-05 2020 SE Louisiana @ Central Arkansas 47–54 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Central Arkansas @ Abilene Christian 71–93 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Nicholls @ Central Arkansas 67–58 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Stephen F. Austin @ Central Arkansas 58–37 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Central Arkansas @ Sam Houston 58–73 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Central Arkansas @ LSU New Orleans 73–85 regular
2020-02-08 2020 McNeese @ Central Arkansas 49–70 regular
2020-02-06 2020 Lamar @ Central Arkansas 29–53 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Central Arkansas @ Northwestern State 51–44 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Central Arkansas @ SE Louisiana 42–63 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Abilene Christian @ Central Arkansas 74–64 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Central Arkansas @ Nicholls 53–46 regular
2020-01-16 2020 Central Arkansas @ Stephen F. Austin 41–102 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Sam Houston @ Central Arkansas 72–54 regular
2020-01-09 2020 LSU New Orleans @ Central Arkansas 49–37 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Central Arkansas @ McNeese 70–57 regular
2020-01-01 2020 Houston Christian @ Central Arkansas 39–63 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Central Arkansas @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 47–67 regular
2019-12-19 2020 Central Arkansas @ Incarnate Word 47–37 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Central Baptist @ Central Arkansas 43–66 non_d1
2019-12-08 2020 Crowley's Ridge @ Central Arkansas 26–82 non_d1
2019-12-04 2020 Central Arkansas @ Texas A&M 46–76 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Jackson State @ Central Arkansas 54–57 regular
2019-11-25 2020 Central Arkansas @ Northern Kentucky 56–72 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Central Arkansas @ Tulane 38–65 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Central Arkansas @ Little Rock 48–63 regular
2019-11-13 2020 Hendrix @ Central Arkansas 28–104 non_d1
2019-11-08 2020 Central Arkansas @ Tennessee 36–63 regular