cbb·system

Central Arkansas Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.90 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.04 points per possession 0.16
PACE 68.09 possessions per game 4.98

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Central Arkansas AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.63 to 1.15 over 62 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141812 0.600

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCentral Arkansas auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-14 2014 McNeese @ Central Arkansas N 66–62 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Central Arkansas @ Stephen F. Austin 41–61 regular
2014-03-06 2014 Central Arkansas @ Northwestern State 45–77 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Lamar @ Central Arkansas 56–53 regular
2014-02-27 2014 Sam Houston @ Central Arkansas 49–54 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Oral Roberts @ Central Arkansas 54–62 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Central Arkansas @ Houston Christian 57–55 regular
2014-02-13 2014 Central Arkansas @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 42–45 regular
2014-02-08 2014 LSU New Orleans @ Central Arkansas 30–62 regular
2014-02-06 2014 SE Louisiana @ Central Arkansas 70–80 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Central Arkansas @ Nicholls 60–69 regular
2014-01-30 2014 Central Arkansas @ McNeese 65–50 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Stephen F. Austin @ Central Arkansas 42–65 regular
2014-01-23 2014 Northwestern State @ Central Arkansas 61–73 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Central Arkansas @ Abilene Christian 67–54 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Central Arkansas @ Incarnate Word 60–40 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Central Arkansas @ Oral Roberts 60–70 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Houston Christian @ Central Arkansas 54–67 regular
2014-01-02 2014 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Central Arkansas 62–66 regular
2013-12-30 2014 Philander Smith @ Central Arkansas 57–85 non_d1
2013-12-21 2014 Arkansas State @ Central Arkansas 73–61 regular
2013-12-16 2014 Southern Miss @ Central Arkansas 71–60 regular
2013-12-07 2014 Southern Miss @ Central Arkansas canceled regular
2013-12-02 2014 Southern Illinois @ Central Arkansas 39–37 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Central Arkansas @ Austin Peay 60–81 regular
2013-11-27 2014 Central Arkansas @ Jacksonville State 58–54 regular
2013-11-23 2014 UL Monroe @ Central Arkansas 56–63 regular
2013-11-19 2014 Central Arkansas @ Indiana 53–80 regular
2013-11-14 2014 Central Baptist @ Central Arkansas 36–98 non_d1
2013-11-10 2014 Central Arkansas @ Ole Miss 66–63 regular
2013-11-08 2014 Alcorn State @ Central Arkansas 39–71 regular